Current meteorological forecasts from multiple agencies converge on a daytime high of 29–31 °C for Ankara on September 3, driven by persistent clear skies, light northeasterly flow, and a stable high-pressure ridge with minimal cloud cover or moisture. Official model guidance (including hourly profiles peaking near 30 °C in the afternoon) places the most probable maximum squarely at 30 °C, consistent with early-September climatology slightly above the 27 °C long-term mean. Low uncertainty in steering patterns and absence of frontal systems or convective activity have kept probabilities for outliers (below 28 °C or above 32 °C) minimal, producing the observed market concentration at 30 °C (61.5 %) with secondary weight on adjacent 29–31 °C bins. Updated model runs and any late adjustments to boundary-layer mixing will be the next key inputs before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日安卡拉的最高温度?
30°C 63%
31°C 21%
29°C 17%
28°C 5%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
17%
30°C
63%
31°C
21%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 63%
31°C 21%
29°C 17%
28°C 5%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
17%
30°C
63%
31°C
21%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current meteorological forecasts from multiple agencies converge on a daytime high of 29–31 °C for Ankara on September 3, driven by persistent clear skies, light northeasterly flow, and a stable high-pressure ridge with minimal cloud cover or moisture. Official model guidance (including hourly profiles peaking near 30 °C in the afternoon) places the most probable maximum squarely at 30 °C, consistent with early-September climatology slightly above the 27 °C long-term mean. Low uncertainty in steering patterns and absence of frontal systems or convective activity have kept probabilities for outliers (below 28 °C or above 32 °C) minimal, producing the observed market concentration at 30 °C (61.5 %) with secondary weight on adjacent 29–31 °C bins. Updated model runs and any late adjustments to boundary-layer mixing will be the next key inputs before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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