Recent short-term forecasts from regional meteorological agencies indicate minimum temperatures in Chengdu near 22°C on September 4, driven by persistent influence from the subtropical high-pressure system and mostly cloudy conditions that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Scattered showers possible in western mountainous areas introduce minor variability in urban heat retention and wind patterns, while recent daily lows have hovered between 18–21°C amid transitioning late-summer patterns. This scientific uncertainty across model runs—particularly regarding exact cloud cover and localized precipitation—has produced tightly balanced market-implied odds near 49–50% for outcomes clustered around 20–28°C, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble forecast spreads rather than any single deterministic projection. Updated guidance from official monitoring agencies in the coming hours could refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日成都最低气温？
9月4日成都最低气温？
19°C或以下 100%
29°C或更高 98%
20°C 88%
21°C 88%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
19°C或以下
100%
20°C
88%
21°C
88%
22°C
88%
23°C
88%
24°C
88%
25°C
88%
26°C
88%
27°C
2%
28°C
8%
29°C或更高
98%
19°C或以下 100%
29°C或更高 98%
20°C 88%
21°C 88%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
19°C或以下
$0 交易量
100%
20°C
$0 交易量
88%
21°C
$0 交易量
88%
22°C
$0 交易量
88%
23°C
$0 交易量
88%
24°C
$0 交易量
88%
25°C
$0 交易量
88%
26°C
$0 交易量
88%
27°C
$0 交易量
2%
28°C
$0 交易量
8%
29°C或更高
$0 交易量
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from regional meteorological agencies indicate minimum temperatures in Chengdu near 22°C on September 4, driven by persistent influence from the subtropical high-pressure system and mostly cloudy conditions that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Scattered showers possible in western mountainous areas introduce minor variability in urban heat retention and wind patterns, while recent daily lows have hovered between 18–21°C amid transitioning late-summer patterns. This scientific uncertainty across model runs—particularly regarding exact cloud cover and localized precipitation—has produced tightly balanced market-implied odds near 49–50% for outcomes clustered around 20–28°C, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble forecast spreads rather than any single deterministic projection. Updated guidance from official monitoring agencies in the coming hours could refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from regional meteorological agencies indicate minimum temperatures in Chengdu near 22°C on September 4, driven by persistent influence from the subtropical high-pressure system and mostly cloudy conditions that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Scattered showers possible in western mountainous areas introduce minor variability in urban heat retention and wind patterns, while recent daily lows have hovered between 18–21°C amid transitioning late-summer patterns. This scientific uncertainty across model runs—particularly regarding exact cloud cover and localized precipitation—has produced tightly balanced market-implied odds near 49–50% for outcomes clustered around 20–28°C, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble forecast spreads rather than any single deterministic projection. Updated guidance from official monitoring agencies in the coming hours could refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent short-term forecasts from regional meteorological agencies indicate minimum temperatures in Chengdu near 22°C on September 4, driven by persistent influence from the subtropical high-pressure system and mostly cloudy conditions that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Scattered showers possible in western mountainous areas introduce minor variability in urban heat retention and wind patterns, while recent daily lows have hovered between 18–21°C amid transitioning late-summer patterns. This scientific uncertainty across model runs—particularly regarding exact cloud cover and localized precipitation—has produced tightly balanced market-implied odds near 49–50% for outcomes clustered around 20–28°C, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble forecast spreads rather than any single deterministic projection. Updated guidance from official monitoring agencies in the coming hours could refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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