Recent forecasts for Manila indicate persistent southwest monsoon flow with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and frequent showers through September 4, which limit nighttime radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures clustered around 26°C. Model consensus from sources like WeatherBug and Yr.no shows overnight lows near 26–27°C amid southwest winds of 8–11 m/s that enhance mixing and suppress extremes. Trader emphasis on both sub-21°C and 31°C+ outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact shower timing and any brief clear spells that could allow greater cooling or warming, while mid-range probabilities align with typical September climatology of 25–27°C minima under similar conditions. Updated global model runs over the next 24 hours will clarify resolution thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日马尼拉最低温度？
9月4日马尼拉最低温度？
21°C或以下 94%
31°C或更高 83%
24°C 48%
25°C 48%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
21°C或以下
94%
22°C
18%
23°C
47%
24°C
48%
25°C
48%
26°C
32%
27°C
28%
28°C
48%
29°C
48%
30°C
2%
31°C或更高
83%
21°C或以下 94%
31°C或更高 83%
24°C 48%
25°C 48%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
21°C或以下
$0 交易量
94%
22°C
$0 交易量
18%
23°C
$0 交易量
47%
24°C
$0 交易量
48%
25°C
$0 交易量
48%
26°C
$0 交易量
32%
27°C
$0 交易量
28%
28°C
$0 交易量
48%
29°C
$0 交易量
48%
30°C
$0 交易量
2%
31°C或更高
$0 交易量
83%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Manila indicate persistent southwest monsoon flow with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and frequent showers through September 4, which limit nighttime radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures clustered around 26°C. Model consensus from sources like WeatherBug and Yr.no shows overnight lows near 26–27°C amid southwest winds of 8–11 m/s that enhance mixing and suppress extremes. Trader emphasis on both sub-21°C and 31°C+ outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact shower timing and any brief clear spells that could allow greater cooling or warming, while mid-range probabilities align with typical September climatology of 25–27°C minima under similar conditions. Updated global model runs over the next 24 hours will clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Manila indicate persistent southwest monsoon flow with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and frequent showers through September 4, which limit nighttime radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures clustered around 26°C. Model consensus from sources like WeatherBug and Yr.no shows overnight lows near 26–27°C amid southwest winds of 8–11 m/s that enhance mixing and suppress extremes. Trader emphasis on both sub-21°C and 31°C+ outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact shower timing and any brief clear spells that could allow greater cooling or warming, while mid-range probabilities align with typical September climatology of 25–27°C minima under similar conditions. Updated global model runs over the next 24 hours will clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent forecasts for Manila indicate persistent southwest monsoon flow with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and frequent showers through September 4, which limit nighttime radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures clustered around 26°C. Model consensus from sources like WeatherBug and Yr.no shows overnight lows near 26–27°C amid southwest winds of 8–11 m/s that enhance mixing and suppress extremes. Trader emphasis on both sub-21°C and 31°C+ outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact shower timing and any brief clear spells that could allow greater cooling or warming, while mid-range probabilities align with typical September climatology of 25–27°C minima under similar conditions. Updated global model runs over the next 24 hours will clarify resolution thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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