**Stable high-pressure conditions and northeasterly flow are keeping overnight radiative cooling modest, producing forecast lows clustered around 21–22°C for Istanbul on September 4.** Multiple models (GFS, ECMWF analogs) show partly cloudy skies with dew points near 17–19°C and light-to-moderate winds that limit further temperature drops after midnight. Traders assign the highest implied probability (52%) to exactly 22°C because ensemble spreads and urban heat-island effects create a narrow but real range; slight increases in cloud cover or wind speed could push the minimum to 20–21°C, while clearer skies favor 23°C. Historical September climatology (average low ~17°C) is warmer this year due to the current pattern, yet model disagreement on exact timing of the nocturnal minimum keeps adjacent outcomes within a few percentage points. Updated runs tonight will refine the final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日伊斯坦布尔的最低温度？
9月4日伊斯坦布尔的最低温度？
18°C 98%
24°C 98%
26°C或更高 98%
19°C 95%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
16°C或以下
94%
17°C
94%
18°C
98%
19°C
95%
20°C
95%
21°C
91%
22°C
52%
23°C
94%
24°C
98%
25°C
93%
26°C或更高
98%
18°C 98%
24°C 98%
26°C或更高 98%
19°C 95%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
16°C或以下
$0 交易量
94%
17°C
$0 交易量
94%
18°C
$0 交易量
98%
19°C
$0 交易量
95%
20°C
$0 交易量
95%
21°C
$0 交易量
91%
22°C
$0 交易量
52%
23°C
$0 交易量
94%
24°C
$0 交易量
98%
25°C
$0 交易量
93%
26°C或更高
$0 交易量
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable high-pressure conditions and northeasterly flow are keeping overnight radiative cooling modest, producing forecast lows clustered around 21–22°C for Istanbul on September 4.** Multiple models (GFS, ECMWF analogs) show partly cloudy skies with dew points near 17–19°C and light-to-moderate winds that limit further temperature drops after midnight. Traders assign the highest implied probability (52%) to exactly 22°C because ensemble spreads and urban heat-island effects create a narrow but real range; slight increases in cloud cover or wind speed could push the minimum to 20–21°C, while clearer skies favor 23°C. Historical September climatology (average low ~17°C) is warmer this year due to the current pattern, yet model disagreement on exact timing of the nocturnal minimum keeps adjacent outcomes within a few percentage points. Updated runs tonight will refine the final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable high-pressure conditions and northeasterly flow are keeping overnight radiative cooling modest, producing forecast lows clustered around 21–22°C for Istanbul on September 4.** Multiple models (GFS, ECMWF analogs) show partly cloudy skies with dew points near 17–19°C and light-to-moderate winds that limit further temperature drops after midnight. Traders assign the highest implied probability (52%) to exactly 22°C because ensemble spreads and urban heat-island effects create a narrow but real range; slight increases in cloud cover or wind speed could push the minimum to 20–21°C, while clearer skies favor 23°C. Historical September climatology (average low ~17°C) is warmer this year due to the current pattern, yet model disagreement on exact timing of the nocturnal minimum keeps adjacent outcomes within a few percentage points. Updated runs tonight will refine the final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ET**Stable high-pressure conditions and northeasterly flow are keeping overnight radiative cooling modest, producing forecast lows clustered around 21–22°C for Istanbul on September 4.** Multiple models (GFS, ECMWF analogs) show partly cloudy skies with dew points near 17–19°C and light-to-moderate winds that limit further temperature drops after midnight. Traders assign the highest implied probability (52%) to exactly 22°C because ensemble spreads and urban heat-island effects create a narrow but real range; slight increases in cloud cover or wind speed could push the minimum to 20–21°C, while clearer skies favor 23°C. Historical September climatology (average low ~17°C) is warmer this year due to the current pattern, yet model disagreement on exact timing of the nocturnal minimum keeps adjacent outcomes within a few percentage points. Updated runs tonight will refine the final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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