**Forecast models for Istanbul on September 5 point to a mostly sunny, high-pressure pattern with daytime highs near 29–31°C and overnight lows centered around 18–22°C, placing the minimum near typical early-September norms of 17–20°C.** Clear skies favor radiational cooling after sunset, moderated by the Bosphorus and Black Sea’s maritime influence that limits extreme drops, while light northeasterly winds and moderate humidity (around 50–80% at night) reduce the potential for rapid temperature falls. Slight model differences in predicted cloud cover or wind strength create the tight market split between a cooler outcome (≤17°C) and an unusually warm night (≥27°C), with traders weighing the balance between seasonal cooling trends and persistent warm advection. Updated official guidance from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service will clarify resolution thresholds as the date approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日伊斯坦布尔的最低温度？
9月5日伊斯坦布尔的最低温度？
17°C或以下 95%
27°C或更高 95%
18°C 50%
24°C 50%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
17°C或以下
95%
18°C
50%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
50%
25°C
50%
26°C
50%
27°C或更高
95%
17°C或以下 95%
27°C或更高 95%
18°C 50%
24°C 50%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
17°C或以下
$0 交易量
95%
18°C
$0 交易量
50%
19°C
$0 交易量
26%
20°C
$0 交易量
26%
21°C
$0 交易量
26%
22°C
$0 交易量
2%
23°C
$0 交易量
2%
24°C
$0 交易量
50%
25°C
$0 交易量
50%
26°C
$0 交易量
50%
27°C或更高
$5 交易量
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Istanbul on September 5 point to a mostly sunny, high-pressure pattern with daytime highs near 29–31°C and overnight lows centered around 18–22°C, placing the minimum near typical early-September norms of 17–20°C.**
Clear skies favor radiational cooling after sunset, moderated by the Bosphorus and Black Sea’s maritime influence that limits extreme drops, while light northeasterly winds and moderate humidity (around 50–80% at night) reduce the potential for rapid temperature falls. Slight model differences in predicted cloud cover or wind strength create the tight market split between a cooler outcome (≤17°C) and an unusually warm night (≥27°C), with traders weighing the balance between seasonal cooling trends and persistent warm advection. Updated official guidance from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service will clarify resolution thresholds as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$5结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Istanbul on September 5 point to a mostly sunny, high-pressure pattern with daytime highs near 29–31°C and overnight lows centered around 18–22°C, placing the minimum near typical early-September norms of 17–20°C.**
Clear skies favor radiational cooling after sunset, moderated by the Bosphorus and Black Sea’s maritime influence that limits extreme drops, while light northeasterly winds and moderate humidity (around 50–80% at night) reduce the potential for rapid temperature falls. Slight model differences in predicted cloud cover or wind strength create the tight market split between a cooler outcome (≤17°C) and an unusually warm night (≥27°C), with traders weighing the balance between seasonal cooling trends and persistent warm advection. Updated official guidance from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service will clarify resolution thresholds as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET**Forecast models for Istanbul on September 5 point to a mostly sunny, high-pressure pattern with daytime highs near 29–31°C and overnight lows centered around 18–22°C, placing the minimum near typical early-September norms of 17–20°C.** Clear skies favor radiational cooling after sunset, moderated by the Bosphorus and Black Sea’s maritime influence that limits extreme drops, while light northeasterly winds and moderate humidity (around 50–80% at night) reduce the potential for rapid temperature falls. Slight model differences in predicted cloud cover or wind strength create the tight market split between a cooler outcome (≤17°C) and an unusually warm night (≥27°C), with traders weighing the balance between seasonal cooling trends and persistent warm advection. Updated official guidance from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service will clarify resolution thresholds as the date approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题