Recent ensemble forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF project minimum temperatures in Ankara on September 1 around 14–17 °C under clear, stable high-pressure conditions with light northeasterly winds and no significant cold advection. This aligns closely with long-term climatological averages of 14–16 °C for early September, when daytime maxima typically reach 28–30 °C before nocturnal radiative cooling. The market’s elevated implied probability for 10 °C or below likely reflects trader emphasis on occasional model variability, historical cold snaps, or precise station measurement thresholds rather than the current consensus outlook. Updated official guidance from Turkish meteorological sources and next model runs will provide key resolution signals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日安卡拉最低气温？
9月1日安卡拉最低气温？
10°C或以下 44%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
14°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
10°C或以下
44%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
2%
19℃
17%
20°C或更高
<1%
10°C或以下 44%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
14°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
10°C或以下
$0 交易量
44%
11°C
$0 交易量
26%
12°C
$0 交易量
27%
13°C
$0 交易量
27%
14°C
$0 交易量
27%
15°C
$0 交易量
27%
16°C
$0 交易量
26%
17°C
$0 交易量
26%
18°C
$0 交易量
2%
19℃
$140 交易量
17%
20°C或更高
$210 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF project minimum temperatures in Ankara on September 1 around 14–17 °C under clear, stable high-pressure conditions with light northeasterly winds and no significant cold advection. This aligns closely with long-term climatological averages of 14–16 °C for early September, when daytime maxima typically reach 28–30 °C before nocturnal radiative cooling. The market’s elevated implied probability for 10 °C or below likely reflects trader emphasis on occasional model variability, historical cold snaps, or precise station measurement thresholds rather than the current consensus outlook. Updated official guidance from Turkish meteorological sources and next model runs will provide key resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$350结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF project minimum temperatures in Ankara on September 1 around 14–17 °C under clear, stable high-pressure conditions with light northeasterly winds and no significant cold advection. This aligns closely with long-term climatological averages of 14–16 °C for early September, when daytime maxima typically reach 28–30 °C before nocturnal radiative cooling. The market’s elevated implied probability for 10 °C or below likely reflects trader emphasis on occasional model variability, historical cold snaps, or precise station measurement thresholds rather than the current consensus outlook. Updated official guidance from Turkish meteorological sources and next model runs will provide key resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$350结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF project minimum temperatures in Ankara on September 1 around 14–17 °C under clear, stable high-pressure conditions with light northeasterly winds and no significant cold advection. This aligns closely with long-term climatological averages of 14–16 °C for early September, when daytime maxima typically reach 28–30 °C before nocturnal radiative cooling. The market’s elevated implied probability for 10 °C or below likely reflects trader emphasis on occasional model variability, historical cold snaps, or precise station measurement thresholds rather than the current consensus outlook. Updated official guidance from Turkish meteorological sources and next model runs will provide key resolution signals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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