National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model runs indicate a high near 101°F for Dallas on August 30 under mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover, aligning with the market's strong 68% weighting on 100-101°F. Persistent high pressure and above-average late-summer warmth have kept recent highs in the upper 90s to low 100s, with limited moisture and no frontal systems expected to moderate temperatures. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 100-102°F, though minor timing differences in daytime heating could nudge the official reading into the adjacent bins. The final maximum will be determined by National Weather Service observations at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport, with any last-minute model updates tomorrow morning the primary near-term variable for traders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日达拉斯的最高温度?
100-101°F 68%
98-99°F 15%
102-103°F 15%
96-97°F 3%
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
15%
100-101°F
68%
102-103°F
15%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F或更高
<1%
100-101°F 68%
98-99°F 15%
102-103°F 15%
96-97°F 3%
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
15%
100-101°F
68%
102-103°F
15%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model runs indicate a high near 101°F for Dallas on August 30 under mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover, aligning with the market's strong 68% weighting on 100-101°F. Persistent high pressure and above-average late-summer warmth have kept recent highs in the upper 90s to low 100s, with limited moisture and no frontal systems expected to moderate temperatures. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 100-102°F, though minor timing differences in daytime heating could nudge the official reading into the adjacent bins. The final maximum will be determined by National Weather Service observations at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport, with any last-minute model updates tomorrow morning the primary near-term variable for traders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题