Persistent monsoon activity and widespread cloud cover across northern India are the dominant factors anchoring trader consensus around a 25–26°C nighttime low for Lucknow on September 6. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and international models show expected minimums of 24–26°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms, which limit radiative cooling while maintaining high humidity. This aligns with the market’s leading 26°C outcome at 42.5% implied probability. Recent above-normal rainfall has kept temperatures close to seasonal averages rather than allowing clearer skies that could push lows lower. Updated model runs and any shifts in rain timing remain the key near-term catalysts that could adjust these odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月6日勒克瑙的最低温度？
9月6日勒克瑙的最低温度？
31℃或更高 63%
26°C 52%
27°C 48%
23°C 47%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
21°C或以下
7%
22°C
27%
23°C
47%
24°C
25%
25°C
27%
26°C
43%
27°C
48%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31℃或更高
63%
31℃或更高 63%
26°C 52%
27°C 48%
23°C 47%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
21°C或以下
$0 交易量
7%
22°C
$0 交易量
27%
23°C
$0 交易量
47%
24°C
$0 交易量
25%
25°C
$0 交易量
27%
26°C
$18 交易量
43%
27°C
$0 交易量
48%
28°C
$0 交易量
3%
29°C
$0 交易量
3%
30°C
$0 交易量
2%
31℃或更高
$0 交易量
63%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon activity and widespread cloud cover across northern India are the dominant factors anchoring trader consensus around a 25–26°C nighttime low for Lucknow on September 6. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and international models show expected minimums of 24–26°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms, which limit radiative cooling while maintaining high humidity. This aligns with the market’s leading 26°C outcome at 42.5% implied probability. Recent above-normal rainfall has kept temperatures close to seasonal averages rather than allowing clearer skies that could push lows lower. Updated model runs and any shifts in rain timing remain the key near-term catalysts that could adjust these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$18结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon activity and widespread cloud cover across northern India are the dominant factors anchoring trader consensus around a 25–26°C nighttime low for Lucknow on September 6. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and international models show expected minimums of 24–26°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms, which limit radiative cooling while maintaining high humidity. This aligns with the market’s leading 26°C outcome at 42.5% implied probability. Recent above-normal rainfall has kept temperatures close to seasonal averages rather than allowing clearer skies that could push lows lower. Updated model runs and any shifts in rain timing remain the key near-term catalysts that could adjust these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$18结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETPersistent monsoon activity and widespread cloud cover across northern India are the dominant factors anchoring trader consensus around a 25–26°C nighttime low for Lucknow on September 6. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and international models show expected minimums of 24–26°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms, which limit radiative cooling while maintaining high humidity. This aligns with the market’s leading 26°C outcome at 42.5% implied probability. Recent above-normal rainfall has kept temperatures close to seasonal averages rather than allowing clearer skies that could push lows lower. Updated model runs and any shifts in rain timing remain the key near-term catalysts that could adjust these odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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