**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thundershowers are the dominant factors keeping market-implied odds tightly split between 31°C (48.5%) and 32°C (40.5%) for Lucknow’s September 5 maximum.** Official India Meteorological Department guidance and multiple numerical models project a peak near 31–32°C under generally cloudy skies with brief rain spells that limit afternoon heating. Higher humidity (often 70–90%) and light easterly winds further moderate surface temperatures by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing insolation. Slight differences in forecast model timing of convective activity create the narrow spread between the leading outcomes, while probabilities for 30°C or 33°C+ remain low given the prevailing monsoon regime and historical September baselines around 32°C. Updated observational data and afternoon model runs will provide the clearest signals for final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日勒克瑙的最高温度？
9月5日勒克瑙的最高温度？
31°C 45%
32°C 45%
33°C 9%
30°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
6%
31°C
45%
32°C
45%
33°C
9%
34°C或更高
<1%
31°C 45%
32°C 45%
33°C 9%
30°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
24°C或以下
$434 交易量
<1%
25°C
$171 交易量
<1%
26°C
$411 交易量
<1%
27°C
$391 交易量
<1%
28°C
$307 交易量
<1%
29°C
$332 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,037 交易量
6%
31°C
$2,466 交易量
45%
32°C
$2,031 交易量
45%
33°C
$728 交易量
9%
34°C或更高
$188 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thundershowers are the dominant factors keeping market-implied odds tightly split between 31°C (48.5%) and 32°C (40.5%) for Lucknow’s September 5 maximum.** Official India Meteorological Department guidance and multiple numerical models project a peak near 31–32°C under generally cloudy skies with brief rain spells that limit afternoon heating. Higher humidity (often 70–90%) and light easterly winds further moderate surface temperatures by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing insolation. Slight differences in forecast model timing of convective activity create the narrow spread between the leading outcomes, while probabilities for 30°C or 33°C+ remain low given the prevailing monsoon regime and historical September baselines around 32°C. Updated observational data and afternoon model runs will provide the clearest signals for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$8,354结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thundershowers are the dominant factors keeping market-implied odds tightly split between 31°C (48.5%) and 32°C (40.5%) for Lucknow’s September 5 maximum.** Official India Meteorological Department guidance and multiple numerical models project a peak near 31–32°C under generally cloudy skies with brief rain spells that limit afternoon heating. Higher humidity (often 70–90%) and light easterly winds further moderate surface temperatures by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing insolation. Slight differences in forecast model timing of convective activity create the narrow spread between the leading outcomes, while probabilities for 30°C or 33°C+ remain low given the prevailing monsoon regime and historical September baselines around 32°C. Updated observational data and afternoon model runs will provide the clearest signals for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,354结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thundershowers are the dominant factors keeping market-implied odds tightly split between 31°C (48.5%) and 32°C (40.5%) for Lucknow’s September 5 maximum.** Official India Meteorological Department guidance and multiple numerical models project a peak near 31–32°C under generally cloudy skies with brief rain spells that limit afternoon heating. Higher humidity (often 70–90%) and light easterly winds further moderate surface temperatures by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing insolation. Slight differences in forecast model timing of convective activity create the narrow spread between the leading outcomes, while probabilities for 30°C or 33°C+ remain low given the prevailing monsoon regime and historical September baselines around 32°C. Updated observational data and afternoon model runs will provide the clearest signals for final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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