Recent National Weather Service and private model consensus forecasts a high of 80–82°F in New York City on September 8 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light northwest winds, positioning the 82–83°F bin as the market leader at 49% implied probability. This aligns with the seasonal average high near 79°F and follows a stable high-pressure pattern after cooler conditions earlier in the week. Limited model spread and minimal precipitation risk support the clustering around 80–85°F outcomes, while probabilities for 86°F or higher remain low absent any late intensification or warm-air advection. Final NWS updates and any overnight model runs will provide the last inputs before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月8日纽约市最高气温?
82-83°F 52%
80-81°F 37%
78-79°F 25%
86-87°F 20%
73华氏度或以下
1%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
15%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
52%
84-85°F
18%
86-87°F
20%
88-89°F
16%
90-91华氏度
13%
92°F或更高
2%
82-83°F 52%
80-81°F 37%
78-79°F 25%
86-87°F 20%
73华氏度或以下
1%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
15%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
52%
84-85°F
18%
86-87°F
20%
88-89°F
16%
90-91华氏度
13%
92°F或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 6, 2026, 2:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and private model consensus forecasts a high of 80–82°F in New York City on September 8 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light northwest winds, positioning the 82–83°F bin as the market leader at 49% implied probability. This aligns with the seasonal average high near 79°F and follows a stable high-pressure pattern after cooler conditions earlier in the week. Limited model spread and minimal precipitation risk support the clustering around 80–85°F outcomes, while probabilities for 86°F or higher remain low absent any late intensification or warm-air advection. Final NWS updates and any overnight model runs will provide the last inputs before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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