Recent forecasts from Mexico's National Meteorological Service (SMN) and multiple models indicate a daytime maximum of 24–26°C for Mexico City on September 10, driven by variable northerly winds, partial morning clearing, and afternoon convective showers that limit further warming. This range aligns with climatological norms for early September in the Valley of Mexico, where urban heat island effects and high humidity typically cap highs near 23–25°C under similar cloudy, unstable conditions. Market-implied odds heavily favor 25°C and 26°C because the latest model consensus and official guidance show no strong high-pressure ridge or clear skies that would push temperatures higher, while persistent cloud cover and precipitation timing reduce the chance of extremes below 24°C. New model runs and SMN updates expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月10日墨西哥城气温最高？
9月10日墨西哥城气温最高？
25°C 47%
26°C 28%
24°C 19%
27°C或更高 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
4%
24°C
19%
25°C
47%
26°C
28%
27°C或更高
5%
25°C 47%
26°C 28%
24°C 19%
27°C或更高 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
17°C或以下
$225 交易量
<1%
18°C
$235 交易量
<1%
19°C
$217 交易量
<1%
20°C
$151 交易量
<1%
21°C
$0 交易量
1%
22°C
$23 交易量
3%
23°C
$130 交易量
4%
24°C
$186 交易量
19%
25°C
$249 交易量
47%
26°C
$711 交易量
28%
27°C或更高
$5 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Mexico's National Meteorological Service (SMN) and multiple models indicate a daytime maximum of 24–26°C for Mexico City on September 10, driven by variable northerly winds, partial morning clearing, and afternoon convective showers that limit further warming. This range aligns with climatological norms for early September in the Valley of Mexico, where urban heat island effects and high humidity typically cap highs near 23–25°C under similar cloudy, unstable conditions. Market-implied odds heavily favor 25°C and 26°C because the latest model consensus and official guidance show no strong high-pressure ridge or clear skies that would push temperatures higher, while persistent cloud cover and precipitation timing reduce the chance of extremes below 24°C. New model runs and SMN updates expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 8, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,131结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 8:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Mexico's National Meteorological Service (SMN) and multiple models indicate a daytime maximum of 24–26°C for Mexico City on September 10, driven by variable northerly winds, partial morning clearing, and afternoon convective showers that limit further warming. This range aligns with climatological norms for early September in the Valley of Mexico, where urban heat island effects and high humidity typically cap highs near 23–25°C under similar cloudy, unstable conditions. Market-implied odds heavily favor 25°C and 26°C because the latest model consensus and official guidance show no strong high-pressure ridge or clear skies that would push temperatures higher, while persistent cloud cover and precipitation timing reduce the chance of extremes below 24°C. New model runs and SMN updates expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,131结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 8:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from Mexico's National Meteorological Service (SMN) and multiple models indicate a daytime maximum of 24–26°C for Mexico City on September 10, driven by variable northerly winds, partial morning clearing, and afternoon convective showers that limit further warming. This range aligns with climatological norms for early September in the Valley of Mexico, where urban heat island effects and high humidity typically cap highs near 23–25°C under similar cloudy, unstable conditions. Market-implied odds heavily favor 25°C and 26°C because the latest model consensus and official guidance show no strong high-pressure ridge or clear skies that would push temperatures higher, while persistent cloud cover and precipitation timing reduce the chance of extremes below 24°C. New model runs and SMN updates expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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