Recent short-range forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate persistent northeasterly flow and high pressure over the region, supporting daytime maxima near 27–28 °C under mostly sunny skies for September 11. Despite these projections, trader consensus has concentrated on 25 °C as the leading outcome, reflecting caution around model spread, potential localized cooling from sea breezes, and historical verification adjustments for Istanbul’s urban stations. Upcoming National Meteorological Service updates and refined model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely determine whether probabilities shift toward the 26–27 °C range or remain anchored near 25 °C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日伊斯坦布尔气温最高？
9月11日伊斯坦布尔气温最高？
25°C 56%
26°C 32%
24°C 12%
27°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
6%
23°C
9%
24°C
12%
25°C
56%
26°C
32%
27°C
10%
28°C
6%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C或更高
3%
25°C 56%
26°C 32%
24°C 12%
27°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
21°C或以下
$157 交易量
<1%
22°C
$0 交易量
6%
23°C
$0 交易量
9%
24°C
$89 交易量
12%
25°C
$286 交易量
56%
26°C
$5 交易量
32%
27°C
$0 交易量
10%
28°C
$0 交易量
6%
29°C
$0 交易量
4%
30°C
$0 交易量
4%
31°C或更高
$0 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate persistent northeasterly flow and high pressure over the region, supporting daytime maxima near 27–28 °C under mostly sunny skies for September 11. Despite these projections, trader consensus has concentrated on 25 °C as the leading outcome, reflecting caution around model spread, potential localized cooling from sea breezes, and historical verification adjustments for Istanbul’s urban stations. Upcoming National Meteorological Service updates and refined model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely determine whether probabilities shift toward the 26–27 °C range or remain anchored near 25 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$537结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate persistent northeasterly flow and high pressure over the region, supporting daytime maxima near 27–28 °C under mostly sunny skies for September 11. Despite these projections, trader consensus has concentrated on 25 °C as the leading outcome, reflecting caution around model spread, potential localized cooling from sea breezes, and historical verification adjustments for Istanbul’s urban stations. Upcoming National Meteorological Service updates and refined model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely determine whether probabilities shift toward the 26–27 °C range or remain anchored near 25 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$537结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent short-range forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate persistent northeasterly flow and high pressure over the region, supporting daytime maxima near 27–28 °C under mostly sunny skies for September 11. Despite these projections, trader consensus has concentrated on 25 °C as the leading outcome, reflecting caution around model spread, potential localized cooling from sea breezes, and historical verification adjustments for Istanbul’s urban stations. Upcoming National Meteorological Service updates and refined model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely determine whether probabilities shift toward the 26–27 °C range or remain anchored near 25 °C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题