Market-implied odds strongly favor 33°C as Kuala Lumpur’s daily maximum on September 9, reflecting consensus from regional forecast models and historical September climatology for the Malaysian capital. Inter-monsoon conditions typically produce afternoon highs near 32–33°C, with minimal day-to-day variability under light winds and high humidity. Official guidance from the Malaysian Meteorological Department aligns with this range, showing no significant synoptic forcing for either extreme heat or cooling. Traders assign negligible probability to 34°C or higher, consistent with the narrow observed distribution in recent years. A late-model run showing stronger subsidence or an unforecast clear-sky period could still push readings to 34°C, though such shifts remain low-probability given current atmospheric stability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月9日吉隆坡气温最高?
33°C 94%
34°C 5%
35°C <1%
37°C <1%
$33,026 交易量
$33,026 交易量
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
94%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C或更高
<1%
33°C 94%
34°C 5%
35°C <1%
37°C <1%
$33,026 交易量
$33,026 交易量
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
94%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market-implied odds strongly favor 33°C as Kuala Lumpur’s daily maximum on September 9, reflecting consensus from regional forecast models and historical September climatology for the Malaysian capital. Inter-monsoon conditions typically produce afternoon highs near 32–33°C, with minimal day-to-day variability under light winds and high humidity. Official guidance from the Malaysian Meteorological Department aligns with this range, showing no significant synoptic forcing for either extreme heat or cooling. Traders assign negligible probability to 34°C or higher, consistent with the narrow observed distribution in recent years. A late-model run showing stronger subsidence or an unforecast clear-sky period could still push readings to 34°C, though such shifts remain low-probability given current atmospheric stability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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