**Current observations and ensemble forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency show Tokyo reaching a daily maximum near 31°C on September 9, 2026, with afternoon readings already confirming 31.3°C under partly cloudy, humid conditions before incoming rain and a northerly wind shift.** This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where southerly flow and high dew points typically support highs in the low 30s before frontal passages cool temperatures. Trader consensus at 99.8% for exactly 31°C reflects high confidence in these verified measurements and short-range guidance, though modest uncertainty remains from timing of showers or localized variations that could nudge the peak slightly lower or higher. Updated JMA guidance and real-time station data will confirm resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月9日东京气温最高？
9月9日东京气温最高？
31°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$64,180 交易量
$64,180 交易量
2026-09-09
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C或更高
<1%
31°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$64,180 交易量
$64,180 交易量
2026-09-09
25°C或以下
$5,573 交易量
<1%
26°C
$3,234 交易量
<1%
27°C
$2,274 交易量
<1%
28°C
$4,599 交易量
<1%
29°C
$6,052 交易量
<1%
30°C
$7,507 交易量
<1%
31°C
$13,457 交易量
100%
32°C
$9,994 交易量
<1%
33°C
$6,676 交易量
<1%
34°C
$2,695 交易量
<1%
35°C或更高
$2,119 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current observations and ensemble forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency show Tokyo reaching a daily maximum near 31°C on September 9, 2026, with afternoon readings already confirming 31.3°C under partly cloudy, humid conditions before incoming rain and a northerly wind shift.** This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where southerly flow and high dew points typically support highs in the low 30s before frontal passages cool temperatures. Trader consensus at 99.8% for exactly 31°C reflects high confidence in these verified measurements and short-range guidance, though modest uncertainty remains from timing of showers or localized variations that could nudge the peak slightly lower or higher. Updated JMA guidance and real-time station data will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$64,180结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current observations and ensemble forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency show Tokyo reaching a daily maximum near 31°C on September 9, 2026, with afternoon readings already confirming 31.3°C under partly cloudy, humid conditions before incoming rain and a northerly wind shift.** This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where southerly flow and high dew points typically support highs in the low 30s before frontal passages cool temperatures. Trader consensus at 99.8% for exactly 31°C reflects high confidence in these verified measurements and short-range guidance, though modest uncertainty remains from timing of showers or localized variations that could nudge the peak slightly lower or higher. Updated JMA guidance and real-time station data will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$64,180结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Current observations and ensemble forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency show Tokyo reaching a daily maximum near 31°C on September 9, 2026, with afternoon readings already confirming 31.3°C under partly cloudy, humid conditions before incoming rain and a northerly wind shift.** This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where southerly flow and high dew points typically support highs in the low 30s before frontal passages cool temperatures. Trader consensus at 99.8% for exactly 31°C reflects high confidence in these verified measurements and short-range guidance, though modest uncertainty remains from timing of showers or localized variations that could nudge the peak slightly lower or higher. Updated JMA guidance and real-time station data will confirm resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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