Current short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a September 12 high near 32–33 °C for Guangzhou under partly cloudy to cloudy skies with northeasterly flow. This positions the market-implied probabilities for 33 °C and 34 °C as the tightest cluster, reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that can suppress or permit an extra degree of warming. Historical climatology shows a 32.3 °C average high and a 35.8 °C record, so any reduction in cloudiness or delayed sea-breeze onset could push readings toward 35 °C while increased moisture or earlier convection would favor the lower 31–32 °C outcomes. Updated CMA guidance and morning soundings on September 11–12 will provide the key resolution signals ahead of market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日广州气温最高？
9月12日广州气温最高？
34°C 32%
33°C 25%
32°C 19%
31°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
27℃或以下
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
11%
32°C
19%
33°C
25%
34°C
32%
35°C
10%
36°C
5%
37°C或更高
7%
34°C 32%
33°C 25%
32°C 19%
31°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
27℃或以下
$130 交易量
<1%
28°C
$0 交易量
1%
29°C
$209 交易量
2%
30°C
$27 交易量
5%
31°C
$2 交易量
11%
32°C
$75 交易量
19%
33°C
$0 交易量
25%
34°C
$65 交易量
32%
35°C
$0 交易量
10%
36°C
$0 交易量
5%
37°C或更高
$0 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a September 12 high near 32–33 °C for Guangzhou under partly cloudy to cloudy skies with northeasterly flow. This positions the market-implied probabilities for 33 °C and 34 °C as the tightest cluster, reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that can suppress or permit an extra degree of warming. Historical climatology shows a 32.3 °C average high and a 35.8 °C record, so any reduction in cloudiness or delayed sea-breeze onset could push readings toward 35 °C while increased moisture or earlier convection would favor the lower 31–32 °C outcomes. Updated CMA guidance and morning soundings on September 11–12 will provide the key resolution signals ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$508结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a September 12 high near 32–33 °C for Guangzhou under partly cloudy to cloudy skies with northeasterly flow. This positions the market-implied probabilities for 33 °C and 34 °C as the tightest cluster, reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that can suppress or permit an extra degree of warming. Historical climatology shows a 32.3 °C average high and a 35.8 °C record, so any reduction in cloudiness or delayed sea-breeze onset could push readings toward 35 °C while increased moisture or earlier convection would favor the lower 31–32 °C outcomes. Updated CMA guidance and morning soundings on September 11–12 will provide the key resolution signals ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$508结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETCurrent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a September 12 high near 32–33 °C for Guangzhou under partly cloudy to cloudy skies with northeasterly flow. This positions the market-implied probabilities for 33 °C and 34 °C as the tightest cluster, reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that can suppress or permit an extra degree of warming. Historical climatology shows a 32.3 °C average high and a 35.8 °C record, so any reduction in cloudiness or delayed sea-breeze onset could push readings toward 35 °C while increased moisture or earlier convection would favor the lower 31–32 °C outcomes. Updated CMA guidance and morning soundings on September 11–12 will provide the key resolution signals ahead of market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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