**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory position 31–32°C as the most probable daily maximum for September 10.** The northeast monsoon is expected to maintain partly sunny conditions with isolated showers and relatively dry daytime air, producing a forecast range of 26–32°C. Recent observations show daytime highs of 31–32°C under similar monsoon flow, consistent with late-summer climatology when daily maxima typically reach the low 30s before seasonal cooling accelerates. Model consensus and regional guidance indicate limited potential for stronger warming or significant cloud cover that would suppress temperatures below 30°C or push them to 33°C or higher. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 31°C (46.0%) and 32°C (26.5%), with 30°C a close third at 23.5%, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band around the official central tendency. Updated HKO guidance and any late-model shifts in monsoon strength or shower timing remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月10日香港气温最高？
9月10日香港气温最高？
31°C 46%
32°C 26%
30°C 24%
33°C 4%
最新
$11,297 交易量
最新
$11,297 交易量
2026-09-10
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
24%
31°C
46%
32°C
26%
33°C
4%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或更高
<1%
31°C 46%
32°C 26%
30°C 24%
33°C 4%
最新
$11,297 交易量
最新
$11,297 交易量
2026-09-10
26°C或以下
$523 交易量
<1%
27°C
$928 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,078 交易量
1%
29°C
$2,269 交易量
3%
30°C
$1,743 交易量
24%
31°C
$766 交易量
46%
32°C
$2,633 交易量
26%
33°C
$729 交易量
4%
34°C
$206 交易量
<1%
35°C
$155 交易量
<1%
36°C或更高
$286 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory position 31–32°C as the most probable daily maximum for September 10.** The northeast monsoon is expected to maintain partly sunny conditions with isolated showers and relatively dry daytime air, producing a forecast range of 26–32°C. Recent observations show daytime highs of 31–32°C under similar monsoon flow, consistent with late-summer climatology when daily maxima typically reach the low 30s before seasonal cooling accelerates.
Model consensus and regional guidance indicate limited potential for stronger warming or significant cloud cover that would suppress temperatures below 30°C or push them to 33°C or higher. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 31°C (46.0%) and 32°C (26.5%), with 30°C a close third at 23.5%, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band around the official central tendency. Updated HKO guidance and any late-model shifts in monsoon strength or shower timing remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$11,297结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory position 31–32°C as the most probable daily maximum for September 10.** The northeast monsoon is expected to maintain partly sunny conditions with isolated showers and relatively dry daytime air, producing a forecast range of 26–32°C. Recent observations show daytime highs of 31–32°C under similar monsoon flow, consistent with late-summer climatology when daily maxima typically reach the low 30s before seasonal cooling accelerates.
Model consensus and regional guidance indicate limited potential for stronger warming or significant cloud cover that would suppress temperatures below 30°C or push them to 33°C or higher. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 31°C (46.0%) and 32°C (26.5%), with 30°C a close third at 23.5%, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band around the official central tendency. Updated HKO guidance and any late-model shifts in monsoon strength or shower timing remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$11,297结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory position 31–32°C as the most probable daily maximum for September 10.** The northeast monsoon is expected to maintain partly sunny conditions with isolated showers and relatively dry daytime air, producing a forecast range of 26–32°C. Recent observations show daytime highs of 31–32°C under similar monsoon flow, consistent with late-summer climatology when daily maxima typically reach the low 30s before seasonal cooling accelerates. Model consensus and regional guidance indicate limited potential for stronger warming or significant cloud cover that would suppress temperatures below 30°C or push them to 33°C or higher. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 31°C (46.0%) and 32°C (26.5%), with 30°C a close third at 23.5%, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band around the official central tendency. Updated HKO guidance and any late-model shifts in monsoon strength or shower timing remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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