Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Buenos Aires on September 11 likely falling between 8°C and 12°C, driven by southeast winds advecting cooler maritime air and persistent cloud cover limiting daytime heating and overnight radiative cooling. Diurnal temperature range will hinge on wind strength and cloud thickness, with stronger mixing potentially keeping the low above 10°C while clearer breaks could allow brief dips toward 7°C or lower. Historical September baselines show typical overnight minima near 10–11°C, but current ensemble spread and recent southerly flow shifts create genuine uncertainty reflected in the closely matched market odds across extremes. Updated model runs overnight will clarify steering patterns ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最低温度?
7°C或以下 64%
17°C或更高 64%
13°C 39%
14°C 39%
7°C或以下
64%
8°C
23%
9°C
25%
10°C
28%
11°C
22%
12°C
22%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
14%
16°C
14%
17°C或更高
64%
7°C或以下 64%
17°C或更高 64%
13°C 39%
14°C 39%
7°C或以下
64%
8°C
23%
9°C
25%
10°C
28%
11°C
22%
12°C
22%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
14%
16°C
14%
17°C或更高
64%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Buenos Aires on September 11 likely falling between 8°C and 12°C, driven by southeast winds advecting cooler maritime air and persistent cloud cover limiting daytime heating and overnight radiative cooling. Diurnal temperature range will hinge on wind strength and cloud thickness, with stronger mixing potentially keeping the low above 10°C while clearer breaks could allow brief dips toward 7°C or lower. Historical September baselines show typical overnight minima near 10–11°C, but current ensemble spread and recent southerly flow shifts create genuine uncertainty reflected in the closely matched market odds across extremes. Updated model runs overnight will clarify steering patterns ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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