Recent forecasts and observational data from sources like the National Meteorological Service and station reports indicate Mexico City reached a minimum of approximately 13°C on September 12, 2026, amid typical early-autumn rainy-season conditions at its 2,240-meter elevation. Persistent cloud cover, light precipitation, and moderate humidity suppressed overnight radiative cooling, keeping temperatures above the seasonal average low near 10–12°C. Model consensus showed limited variability in the 12–14°C range, with steering patterns and urban heat effects differentiating the tight 13–14°C outcomes that dominate trader positioning. Official resolution will hinge on the precise station reading and any measurement adjustments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于墨西哥城9月12日的最低温度?
14°C 99.5%
13°C 20%
8°C或以下 1.0%
11°C 1.0%
$735 交易量
$735 交易量
8°C或以下
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
是
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C或更高
否
14°C 99.5%
13°C 20%
8°C或以下 1.0%
11°C 1.0%
$735 交易量
$735 交易量
8°C或以下
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
是
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 10, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent forecasts and observational data from sources like the National Meteorological Service and station reports indicate Mexico City reached a minimum of approximately 13°C on September 12, 2026, amid typical early-autumn rainy-season conditions at its 2,240-meter elevation. Persistent cloud cover, light precipitation, and moderate humidity suppressed overnight radiative cooling, keeping temperatures above the seasonal average low near 10–12°C. Model consensus showed limited variability in the 12–14°C range, with steering patterns and urban heat effects differentiating the tight 13–14°C outcomes that dominate trader positioning. Official resolution will hinge on the precise station reading and any measurement adjustments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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