Persistent southwest monsoon flow and associated thunderstorms are capping daytime heating in Manila ahead of September 22, with PAGASA forecasts showing partly cloudy to cloudy skies, isolated to scattered rainshowers, and highs generally in the 30–34 °C range. High humidity, widespread cloud cover, and convective activity limit solar insolation and prevent extreme maxima, aligning with climatological September averages near 32 °C. Recent model runs and official outlooks emphasize light-to-moderate southwest winds and frequent precipitation, which traders interpret as favoring 32–33 °C outcomes (combined ~71.5 % implied probability). Updated PAGASA briefings and short-range model consensus on storm timing will likely drive any near-term shifts in these market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月22日马尼拉的最高温度？
9月22日马尼拉的最高温度？
32°C 44%
31°C 35%
33°C 28%
29°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
28°C或以下
12%
29°C
20%
30°C
18%
31°C
35%
32°C
44%
33°C
28%
34°C
17%
35°C
14%
36°C
4%
37°C
2%
38°C或更高
1%
32°C 44%
31°C 35%
33°C 28%
29°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
28°C或以下
$0 交易量
12%
29°C
$0 交易量
20%
30°C
$5 交易量
18%
31°C
$0 交易量
35%
32°C
$313 交易量
44%
33°C
$115 交易量
28%
34°C
$0 交易量
17%
35°C
$0 交易量
14%
36°C
$0 交易量
4%
37°C
$0 交易量
2%
38°C或更高
$11 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow and associated thunderstorms are capping daytime heating in Manila ahead of September 22, with PAGASA forecasts showing partly cloudy to cloudy skies, isolated to scattered rainshowers, and highs generally in the 30–34 °C range. High humidity, widespread cloud cover, and convective activity limit solar insolation and prevent extreme maxima, aligning with climatological September averages near 32 °C. Recent model runs and official outlooks emphasize light-to-moderate southwest winds and frequent precipitation, which traders interpret as favoring 32–33 °C outcomes (combined ~71.5 % implied probability). Updated PAGASA briefings and short-range model consensus on storm timing will likely drive any near-term shifts in these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 20, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
交易量
$444结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 12:59 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow and associated thunderstorms are capping daytime heating in Manila ahead of September 22, with PAGASA forecasts showing partly cloudy to cloudy skies, isolated to scattered rainshowers, and highs generally in the 30–34 °C range. High humidity, widespread cloud cover, and convective activity limit solar insolation and prevent extreme maxima, aligning with climatological September averages near 32 °C. Recent model runs and official outlooks emphasize light-to-moderate southwest winds and frequent precipitation, which traders interpret as favoring 32–33 °C outcomes (combined ~71.5 % implied probability). Updated PAGASA briefings and short-range model consensus on storm timing will likely drive any near-term shifts in these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$444结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 12:59 AM ETPersistent southwest monsoon flow and associated thunderstorms are capping daytime heating in Manila ahead of September 22, with PAGASA forecasts showing partly cloudy to cloudy skies, isolated to scattered rainshowers, and highs generally in the 30–34 °C range. High humidity, widespread cloud cover, and convective activity limit solar insolation and prevent extreme maxima, aligning with climatological September averages near 32 °C. Recent model runs and official outlooks emphasize light-to-moderate southwest winds and frequent precipitation, which traders interpret as favoring 32–33 °C outcomes (combined ~71.5 % implied probability). Updated PAGASA briefings and short-range model consensus on storm timing will likely drive any near-term shifts in these market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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