**Trader consensus heavily favors a 33°C high in Lucknow on September 20, 2026, at 99.7% implied probability.** Official India Meteorological Department forecasts and numerical weather models project this peak under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. Late-monsoon withdrawal has produced stable atmospheric conditions across Uttar Pradesh, consistent with historical September maxima near 33–34°C and low day-to-day variability. Supporting hourly guidance shows afternoon readings topping out at 33–34°C before modest evening decline, aligning precisely with the market threshold. Only an unexpected increase in cloud cover or localized convection could realistically shift the official maximum below or above this narrow band, though current model agreement leaves little room for such deviation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日勒克瑙的最高温度？
9月20日勒克瑙的最高温度？
33°C 99.7%
37°C <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$41,217 交易量
$41,217 交易量
2026-09-20
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C或更高
<1%
33°C 99.7%
37°C <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$41,217 交易量
$41,217 交易量
2026-09-20
28°C或以下
$975 交易量
<1%
29°C
$9,712 交易量
<1%
30°C
$165 交易量
<1%
31°C
$15,807 交易量
<1%
32°C
$1,723 交易量
<1%
33°C
$6,569 交易量
100%
34°C
$2,477 交易量
<1%
35°C
$1,993 交易量
<1%
36°C
$340 交易量
<1%
37°C
$882 交易量
<1%
38°C或更高
$575 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 33°C high in Lucknow on September 20, 2026, at 99.7% implied probability.** Official India Meteorological Department forecasts and numerical weather models project this peak under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. Late-monsoon withdrawal has produced stable atmospheric conditions across Uttar Pradesh, consistent with historical September maxima near 33–34°C and low day-to-day variability. Supporting hourly guidance shows afternoon readings topping out at 33–34°C before modest evening decline, aligning precisely with the market threshold. Only an unexpected increase in cloud cover or localized convection could realistically shift the official maximum below or above this narrow band, though current model agreement leaves little room for such deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$41,217结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 33°C high in Lucknow on September 20, 2026, at 99.7% implied probability.** Official India Meteorological Department forecasts and numerical weather models project this peak under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. Late-monsoon withdrawal has produced stable atmospheric conditions across Uttar Pradesh, consistent with historical September maxima near 33–34°C and low day-to-day variability. Supporting hourly guidance shows afternoon readings topping out at 33–34°C before modest evening decline, aligning precisely with the market threshold. Only an unexpected increase in cloud cover or localized convection could realistically shift the official maximum below or above this narrow band, though current model agreement leaves little room for such deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$41,217结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Trader consensus heavily favors a 33°C high in Lucknow on September 20, 2026, at 99.7% implied probability.** Official India Meteorological Department forecasts and numerical weather models project this peak under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. Late-monsoon withdrawal has produced stable atmospheric conditions across Uttar Pradesh, consistent with historical September maxima near 33–34°C and low day-to-day variability. Supporting hourly guidance shows afternoon readings topping out at 33–34°C before modest evening decline, aligning precisely with the market threshold. Only an unexpected increase in cloud cover or localized convection could realistically shift the official maximum below or above this narrow band, though current model agreement leaves little room for such deviation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题