Recent forecast model consensus from global and regional meteorological agencies points to a maximum temperature near 26°C in Mexico City on September 22, reflecting the city's 2,240-meter elevation and typical late-September conditions at the end of the rainy season. Stable high-pressure influences and limited moisture advection are suppressing stronger warming or cooling, keeping daily highs close to long-term September averages of 23–25°C. Traders have assigned 52.5% implied probability to exactly 26°C and 29.5% to 27°C or higher, consistent with slight upside potential if afternoon insolation increases. Updated runs from the National Meteorological Service of Mexico and ensemble guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these projections ahead of the market's resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月22日墨西哥城气温最高？
9月22日墨西哥城气温最高？
26°C 52%
27°C或更高 33%
25°C 13%
24°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
17°C或以下
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
7%
25°C
13%
26°C
52%
27°C或更高
33%
26°C 52%
27°C或更高 33%
25°C 13%
24°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
17°C或以下
$10 交易量
2%
18°C
$31 交易量
<1%
19°C
$31 交易量
<1%
20°C
$31 交易量
<1%
21°C
$13 交易量
2%
22°C
$10 交易量
2%
23°C
$57 交易量
4%
24°C
$104 交易量
7%
25°C
$72 交易量
13%
26°C
$481 交易量
52%
27°C或更高
$151 交易量
33%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from global and regional meteorological agencies points to a maximum temperature near 26°C in Mexico City on September 22, reflecting the city's 2,240-meter elevation and typical late-September conditions at the end of the rainy season. Stable high-pressure influences and limited moisture advection are suppressing stronger warming or cooling, keeping daily highs close to long-term September averages of 23–25°C. Traders have assigned 52.5% implied probability to exactly 26°C and 29.5% to 27°C or higher, consistent with slight upside potential if afternoon insolation increases. Updated runs from the National Meteorological Service of Mexico and ensemble guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these projections ahead of the market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 20, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
交易量
$990结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 8:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from global and regional meteorological agencies points to a maximum temperature near 26°C in Mexico City on September 22, reflecting the city's 2,240-meter elevation and typical late-September conditions at the end of the rainy season. Stable high-pressure influences and limited moisture advection are suppressing stronger warming or cooling, keeping daily highs close to long-term September averages of 23–25°C. Traders have assigned 52.5% implied probability to exactly 26°C and 29.5% to 27°C or higher, consistent with slight upside potential if afternoon insolation increases. Updated runs from the National Meteorological Service of Mexico and ensemble guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these projections ahead of the market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$990结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 8:56 AM ETRecent forecast model consensus from global and regional meteorological agencies points to a maximum temperature near 26°C in Mexico City on September 22, reflecting the city's 2,240-meter elevation and typical late-September conditions at the end of the rainy season. Stable high-pressure influences and limited moisture advection are suppressing stronger warming or cooling, keeping daily highs close to long-term September averages of 23–25°C. Traders have assigned 52.5% implied probability to exactly 26°C and 29.5% to 27°C or higher, consistent with slight upside potential if afternoon insolation increases. Updated runs from the National Meteorological Service of Mexico and ensemble guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these projections ahead of the market's resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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