Official forecasts from the Met Office project a London daytime maximum of 21°C today under high pressure, with sunny spells, variable cloud, and light northwesterly winds moderating temperatures. This aligns with broader model consensus showing highs clustered near 20–21°C, reflecting typical early-autumn conditions where radiative cooling overnight and modest solar heating limit peaks. Recent high-pressure buildup has cleared prior showers, supporting stable, drier air masses and reduced humidity that favor these narrow outcomes over warmer or cooler extremes. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 20°C and 21°C as the most likely recorded highs, given minor uncertainties in afternoon cloud timing and localized variations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日伦敦气温最高?
20°C 64%
21°C 23%
19°C 15%
22°C 3%
$27,886 交易量
$27,886 交易量
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
15%
20°C
64%
21°C
23%
22°C
3%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C或更高
<1%
20°C 64%
21°C 23%
19°C 15%
22°C 3%
$27,886 交易量
$27,886 交易量
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
15%
20°C
64%
21°C
23%
22°C
3%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from the Met Office project a London daytime maximum of 21°C today under high pressure, with sunny spells, variable cloud, and light northwesterly winds moderating temperatures. This aligns with broader model consensus showing highs clustered near 20–21°C, reflecting typical early-autumn conditions where radiative cooling overnight and modest solar heating limit peaks. Recent high-pressure buildup has cleared prior showers, supporting stable, drier air masses and reduced humidity that favor these narrow outcomes over warmer or cooler extremes. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 20°C and 21°C as the most likely recorded highs, given minor uncertainties in afternoon cloud timing and localized variations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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