**Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on September 21 points to a humid, unstable airmass with partly sunny skies giving way to scattered afternoon thunderstorms, which is the primary driver capping the daily high.** Official forecasts consistently indicate highs in the upper 80s (roughly 84–88°F), with convection and cloud cover limiting peak solar heating and preventing stronger warming. This aligns with climatological norms for late September in South Florida, where typical maxima hover near 86–87°F amid frequent seabreeze-driven storms. Trader consensus heavily favors the 86–87°F bin (44.5% implied probability) over slightly cooler or warmer ranges because ensemble runs show limited model spread around this outcome, with only modest upside potential if storms develop later than expected. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping probabilities stable ahead of the next model updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日迈阿密气温最高？
9月21日迈阿密气温最高？
86-87°F 44%
84-85°F 22%
88-89华氏度 21%
82-83°F 6.0%
最新
$21,128 交易量
最新
$21,128 交易量
2026-09-21
75华氏度或以下
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
22%
86-87°F
44%
88-89华氏度
21%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
1%
94华氏度或更高
<1%
86-87°F 44%
84-85°F 22%
88-89华氏度 21%
82-83°F 6.0%
最新
$21,128 交易量
最新
$21,128 交易量
2026-09-21
75华氏度或以下
$45 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$122 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$435 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$1,361 交易量
1%
82-83°F
$2,450 交易量
6%
84-85°F
$3,108 交易量
22%
86-87°F
$3,327 交易量
44%
88-89华氏度
$3,026 交易量
21%
90-91°F
$5,877 交易量
6%
92-93°F
$1,140 交易量
1%
94华氏度或更高
$236 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on September 21 points to a humid, unstable airmass with partly sunny skies giving way to scattered afternoon thunderstorms, which is the primary driver capping the daily high.** Official forecasts consistently indicate highs in the upper 80s (roughly 84–88°F), with convection and cloud cover limiting peak solar heating and preventing stronger warming. This aligns with climatological norms for late September in South Florida, where typical maxima hover near 86–87°F amid frequent seabreeze-driven storms. Trader consensus heavily favors the 86–87°F bin (44.5% implied probability) over slightly cooler or warmer ranges because ensemble runs show limited model spread around this outcome, with only modest upside potential if storms develop later than expected. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping probabilities stable ahead of the next model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$21,128结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on September 21 points to a humid, unstable airmass with partly sunny skies giving way to scattered afternoon thunderstorms, which is the primary driver capping the daily high.** Official forecasts consistently indicate highs in the upper 80s (roughly 84–88°F), with convection and cloud cover limiting peak solar heating and preventing stronger warming. This aligns with climatological norms for late September in South Florida, where typical maxima hover near 86–87°F amid frequent seabreeze-driven storms. Trader consensus heavily favors the 86–87°F bin (44.5% implied probability) over slightly cooler or warmer ranges because ensemble runs show limited model spread around this outcome, with only modest upside potential if storms develop later than expected. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping probabilities stable ahead of the next model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$21,128结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 3:56 AM ET**Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on September 21 points to a humid, unstable airmass with partly sunny skies giving way to scattered afternoon thunderstorms, which is the primary driver capping the daily high.** Official forecasts consistently indicate highs in the upper 80s (roughly 84–88°F), with convection and cloud cover limiting peak solar heating and preventing stronger warming. This aligns with climatological norms for late September in South Florida, where typical maxima hover near 86–87°F amid frequent seabreeze-driven storms. Trader consensus heavily favors the 86–87°F bin (44.5% implied probability) over slightly cooler or warmer ranges because ensemble runs show limited model spread around this outcome, with only modest upside potential if storms develop later than expected. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping probabilities stable ahead of the next model updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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