**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature near 5–8°C for Buenos Aires on September 22, driven by southwest winds advecting cooler maritime air behind a recent cold front.** Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight support radiational cooling, with dew points near 1–3°C and light winds in the early morning hours enhancing the drop. Official guidance from sources such as the National Meteorological Service and ECMWF runs shows the low occurring around dawn before temperatures rebound to a daytime high near 12–13°C. Trader-implied odds remain closely split between sub-1°C and 11°C+ outcomes because small differences in wind timing, cloud cover, or model bias can shift the exact minimum by several degrees; historical September minima in the city average around 8–10°C, placing today’s conditions on the cooler side of the climatological range. Updated model runs and official observations later today will refine resolution thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月22日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最低温度?
1°C或以下 100%
11°C或更高 90%
3°C 40%
7°C 40%
1°C或以下
100%
2°C
18%
3°C
40%
4°C
23%
5°C
22%
6°C
22%
7°C
40%
8°C
40%
9°C
5%
10°C
5%
11°C或更高
90%
1°C或以下 100%
11°C或更高 90%
3°C 40%
7°C 40%
1°C或以下
100%
2°C
18%
3°C
40%
4°C
23%
5°C
22%
6°C
22%
7°C
40%
8°C
40%
9°C
5%
10°C
5%
11°C或更高
90%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature near 5–8°C for Buenos Aires on September 22, driven by southwest winds advecting cooler maritime air behind a recent cold front.** Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight support radiational cooling, with dew points near 1–3°C and light winds in the early morning hours enhancing the drop. Official guidance from sources such as the National Meteorological Service and ECMWF runs shows the low occurring around dawn before temperatures rebound to a daytime high near 12–13°C. Trader-implied odds remain closely split between sub-1°C and 11°C+ outcomes because small differences in wind timing, cloud cover, or model bias can shift the exact minimum by several degrees; historical September minima in the city average around 8–10°C, placing today’s conditions on the cooler side of the climatological range. Updated model runs and official observations later today will refine resolution thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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