The official Hong Kong Observatory forecast for September 22 points to a maximum of 32°C under the influence of the northeast monsoon and upper-air disturbances, with mainly cloudy skies, one or two showers, and sunny intervals that could support peak heating. This aligns with the market's tight split between 32°C (42% implied probability) and 31°C (34.5%), as models show modest variability in daytime warming depending on cloud cover and shower timing. Recent observations indicate highs near 32–33°C on September 21, with sea surface temperatures around 28°C providing limited additional heat. Updated HKO guidance and any overnight model runs will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月22日香港气温最高？
9月22日香港气温最高？
32°C 42%
31°C 36%
33°C 13%
30°C 12%
最新
$16,124 交易量
最新
$16,124 交易量
2026-09-22
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
12%
31°C
36%
32°C
42%
33°C
13%
34°C
1%
35°C或更高
<1%
32°C 42%
31°C 36%
33°C 13%
30°C 12%
最新
$16,124 交易量
最新
$16,124 交易量
2026-09-22
25°C或以下
$379 交易量
<1%
26°C
$245 交易量
<1%
27°C
$135 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,073 交易量
<1%
29°C
$3,965 交易量
2%
30°C
$1,594 交易量
12%
31°C
$710 交易量
36%
32°C
$2,297 交易量
42%
33°C
$2,725 交易量
13%
34°C
$2,509 交易量
1%
35°C或更高
$491 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The official Hong Kong Observatory forecast for September 22 points to a maximum of 32°C under the influence of the northeast monsoon and upper-air disturbances, with mainly cloudy skies, one or two showers, and sunny intervals that could support peak heating. This aligns with the market's tight split between 32°C (42% implied probability) and 31°C (34.5%), as models show modest variability in daytime warming depending on cloud cover and shower timing. Recent observations indicate highs near 32–33°C on September 21, with sea surface temperatures around 28°C providing limited additional heat. Updated HKO guidance and any overnight model runs will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$16,124结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The official Hong Kong Observatory forecast for September 22 points to a maximum of 32°C under the influence of the northeast monsoon and upper-air disturbances, with mainly cloudy skies, one or two showers, and sunny intervals that could support peak heating. This aligns with the market's tight split between 32°C (42% implied probability) and 31°C (34.5%), as models show modest variability in daytime warming depending on cloud cover and shower timing. Recent observations indicate highs near 32–33°C on September 21, with sea surface temperatures around 28°C providing limited additional heat. Updated HKO guidance and any overnight model runs will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$16,124结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThe official Hong Kong Observatory forecast for September 22 points to a maximum of 32°C under the influence of the northeast monsoon and upper-air disturbances, with mainly cloudy skies, one or two showers, and sunny intervals that could support peak heating. This aligns with the market's tight split between 32°C (42% implied probability) and 31°C (34.5%), as models show modest variability in daytime warming depending on cloud cover and shower timing. Recent observations indicate highs near 32–33°C on September 21, with sea surface temperatures around 28°C providing limited additional heat. Updated HKO guidance and any overnight model runs will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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