**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature of 27–31°C on September 23 under easterly winds of force 4, with sunny periods and isolated showers.** Multiple models align on similar ranges, reflecting moderate humidity around 65–90% and limited daytime heating due to cloud cover and sea breezes. Recent observations show highs near 31–33°C amid stable subtropical conditions without active tropical systems or strong monsoon influences. The tight market spread between 30°C, 31°C, and 32°C stems from small differences in expected cloud thickness and shower timing, which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and any changes in steering patterns from the east will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月23日香港气温最高?
31°C 33%
30°C 26%
32°C 26%
29°C 14%
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
14%
30°C
26%
31°C
33%
32°C
26%
33°C
6%
34°C或以上
1%
31°C 33%
30°C 26%
32°C 26%
29°C 14%
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
14%
30°C
26%
31°C
33%
32°C
26%
33°C
6%
34°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature of 27–31°C on September 23 under easterly winds of force 4, with sunny periods and isolated showers.** Multiple models align on similar ranges, reflecting moderate humidity around 65–90% and limited daytime heating due to cloud cover and sea breezes. Recent observations show highs near 31–33°C amid stable subtropical conditions without active tropical systems or strong monsoon influences. The tight market spread between 30°C, 31°C, and 32°C stems from small differences in expected cloud thickness and shower timing, which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and any changes in steering patterns from the east will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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