Recent model consensus points to thunderstorms and scattered convection on September 21 limiting insolation and peak heating in Shenzhen, keeping the daily maximum near 31–32 °C. Persistent high humidity (around 65–75 %), light southerly winds, and afternoon cloud build-up favor evaporative cooling and reduced surface warming, while any delay in storm initiation could allow brief clearing and a push toward 33 °C. Official guidance from regional forecasts highlights 25–70 % rain probability during daytime hours, with the exact timing of heaviest cells determining whether the high settles at 30 °C or edges higher. Traders are weighting these variables closely because small shifts in precipitation onset or intensity—common in late-summer monsoon transition patterns—can swing the recorded maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs expected overnight will likely refine the odds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日深圳气温最高？
9月21日深圳气温最高？
31°C 32%
32°C 27%
33°C 20%
30°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
16%
31°C
32%
32°C
27%
33°C
20%
34°C
7%
35°C或更高
2%
31°C 32%
32°C 27%
33°C 20%
30°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
25°C或以下
$111 交易量
<1%
26°C
$111 交易量
<1%
27°C
$111 交易量
<1%
28°C
$425 交易量
<1%
29°C
$399 交易量
3%
30°C
$942 交易量
16%
31°C
$395 交易量
32%
32°C
$838 交易量
27%
33°C
$1,284 交易量
20%
34°C
$691 交易量
7%
35°C或更高
$438 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus points to thunderstorms and scattered convection on September 21 limiting insolation and peak heating in Shenzhen, keeping the daily maximum near 31–32 °C. Persistent high humidity (around 65–75 %), light southerly winds, and afternoon cloud build-up favor evaporative cooling and reduced surface warming, while any delay in storm initiation could allow brief clearing and a push toward 33 °C. Official guidance from regional forecasts highlights 25–70 % rain probability during daytime hours, with the exact timing of heaviest cells determining whether the high settles at 30 °C or edges higher. Traders are weighting these variables closely because small shifts in precipitation onset or intensity—common in late-summer monsoon transition patterns—can swing the recorded maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs expected overnight will likely refine the odds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$5,746结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus points to thunderstorms and scattered convection on September 21 limiting insolation and peak heating in Shenzhen, keeping the daily maximum near 31–32 °C. Persistent high humidity (around 65–75 %), light southerly winds, and afternoon cloud build-up favor evaporative cooling and reduced surface warming, while any delay in storm initiation could allow brief clearing and a push toward 33 °C. Official guidance from regional forecasts highlights 25–70 % rain probability during daytime hours, with the exact timing of heaviest cells determining whether the high settles at 30 °C or edges higher. Traders are weighting these variables closely because small shifts in precipitation onset or intensity—common in late-summer monsoon transition patterns—can swing the recorded maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs expected overnight will likely refine the odds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,746结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent model consensus points to thunderstorms and scattered convection on September 21 limiting insolation and peak heating in Shenzhen, keeping the daily maximum near 31–32 °C. Persistent high humidity (around 65–75 %), light southerly winds, and afternoon cloud build-up favor evaporative cooling and reduced surface warming, while any delay in storm initiation could allow brief clearing and a push toward 33 °C. Official guidance from regional forecasts highlights 25–70 % rain probability during daytime hours, with the exact timing of heaviest cells determining whether the high settles at 30 °C or edges higher. Traders are weighting these variables closely because small shifts in precipitation onset or intensity—common in late-summer monsoon transition patterns—can swing the recorded maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs expected overnight will likely refine the odds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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