Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate Miami highs near 87–89°F on September 19 amid scattered thunderstorms and easterly flow, aligning with the market’s tight 88–89°F (42%) versus 86–87°F (35.5%) contest. An approaching upper-level low is increasing tropical moisture and convective cloud cover, which reduces surface heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from showers. This late-September pattern, with light winds and high humidity, typically caps peaks in the upper 80s rather than allowing 90°F+ readings. Model consensus shows minimal spread, though any delay in storm initiation or slight steering changes could nudge the daily maximum across the 88–89°F threshold. Historical averages near 89°F provide context, but active convection favors the lower side of that range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月19日迈阿密气温最高？
9月19日迈阿密气温最高？
88-89°F 42%
90-91°F 32%
86-87°F 30%
84-85°F 26%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
77°F或以下
3%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
30%
88-89°F
42%
90-91°F
32%
92-93°F
10%
94-95°F
5%
96°F或更高
2%
88-89°F 42%
90-91°F 32%
86-87°F 30%
84-85°F 26%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
77°F或以下
$0 交易量
3%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
5%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
5%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
6%
84-85°F
$0 交易量
26%
86-87°F
$122 交易量
30%
88-89°F
$74 交易量
42%
90-91°F
$0 交易量
32%
92-93°F
$0 交易量
10%
94-95°F
$0 交易量
5%
96°F或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate Miami highs near 87–89°F on September 19 amid scattered thunderstorms and easterly flow, aligning with the market’s tight 88–89°F (42%) versus 86–87°F (35.5%) contest. An approaching upper-level low is increasing tropical moisture and convective cloud cover, which reduces surface heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from showers. This late-September pattern, with light winds and high humidity, typically caps peaks in the upper 80s rather than allowing 90°F+ readings. Model consensus shows minimal spread, though any delay in storm initiation or slight steering changes could nudge the daily maximum across the 88–89°F threshold. Historical averages near 89°F provide context, but active convection favors the lower side of that range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$196结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate Miami highs near 87–89°F on September 19 amid scattered thunderstorms and easterly flow, aligning with the market’s tight 88–89°F (42%) versus 86–87°F (35.5%) contest. An approaching upper-level low is increasing tropical moisture and convective cloud cover, which reduces surface heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from showers. This late-September pattern, with light winds and high humidity, typically caps peaks in the upper 80s rather than allowing 90°F+ readings. Model consensus shows minimal spread, though any delay in storm initiation or slight steering changes could nudge the daily maximum across the 88–89°F threshold. Historical averages near 89°F provide context, but active convection favors the lower side of that range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$196结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 3:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts indicate Miami highs near 87–89°F on September 19 amid scattered thunderstorms and easterly flow, aligning with the market’s tight 88–89°F (42%) versus 86–87°F (35.5%) contest. An approaching upper-level low is increasing tropical moisture and convective cloud cover, which reduces surface heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from showers. This late-September pattern, with light winds and high humidity, typically caps peaks in the upper 80s rather than allowing 90°F+ readings. Model consensus shows minimal spread, though any delay in storm initiation or slight steering changes could nudge the daily maximum across the 88–89°F threshold. Historical averages near 89°F provide context, but active convection favors the lower side of that range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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