Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily maximum around 23–25°C for Mexico City on September 19, driven by the highland subtropical climate’s typical late-summer pattern of afternoon convection and persistent cloud cover during the rainy season. Official guidance shows partly cloudy conditions with 40–70% storm chances moderating peak heating, consistent with September climatology of 23–24°C average highs at the 2,240 m elevation. Recent model runs have trended slightly warmer than initial guidance, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on 25°C (42.5%) and 26°C or higher (25%), while capping upside due to expected moisture and limited insolation. Updated NHC-adjacent regional outlooks and next-day model releases will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月19日墨西哥城气温最高？
9月19日墨西哥城气温最高？
25°C 44%
24°C 39%
26°C或更高 31%
23°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
16°C或以下
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
9%
23°C
13%
24°C
39%
25°C
44%
26°C或更高
31%
25°C 44%
24°C 39%
26°C或更高 31%
23°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
16°C或以下
$0 交易量
2%
17°C
$0 交易量
2%
18°C
$0 交易量
2%
19°C
$0 交易量
2%
20°C
$0 交易量
2%
21°C
$0 交易量
4%
22°C
$69 交易量
9%
23°C
$4 交易量
13%
24°C
$0 交易量
39%
25°C
$15 交易量
44%
26°C或更高
$0 交易量
31%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily maximum around 23–25°C for Mexico City on September 19, driven by the highland subtropical climate’s typical late-summer pattern of afternoon convection and persistent cloud cover during the rainy season. Official guidance shows partly cloudy conditions with 40–70% storm chances moderating peak heating, consistent with September climatology of 23–24°C average highs at the 2,240 m elevation. Recent model runs have trended slightly warmer than initial guidance, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on 25°C (42.5%) and 26°C or higher (25%), while capping upside due to expected moisture and limited insolation. Updated NHC-adjacent regional outlooks and next-day model releases will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
交易量
$88结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 8:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily maximum around 23–25°C for Mexico City on September 19, driven by the highland subtropical climate’s typical late-summer pattern of afternoon convection and persistent cloud cover during the rainy season. Official guidance shows partly cloudy conditions with 40–70% storm chances moderating peak heating, consistent with September climatology of 23–24°C average highs at the 2,240 m elevation. Recent model runs have trended slightly warmer than initial guidance, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on 25°C (42.5%) and 26°C or higher (25%), while capping upside due to expected moisture and limited insolation. Updated NHC-adjacent regional outlooks and next-day model releases will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$88结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 8:56 AM ETCurrent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily maximum around 23–25°C for Mexico City on September 19, driven by the highland subtropical climate’s typical late-summer pattern of afternoon convection and persistent cloud cover during the rainy season. Official guidance shows partly cloudy conditions with 40–70% storm chances moderating peak heating, consistent with September climatology of 23–24°C average highs at the 2,240 m elevation. Recent model runs have trended slightly warmer than initial guidance, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on 25°C (42.5%) and 26°C or higher (25%), while capping upside due to expected moisture and limited insolation. Updated NHC-adjacent regional outlooks and next-day model releases will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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