Recent forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS show a cool, moist westerly flow over Warsaw on September 17, with extensive cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and maximum temperatures peaking near 18–19°C during afternoon hours. This synoptic pattern limits solar heating and promotes evaporative cooling, keeping the daily high tightly clustered between those values while reducing the chance of reaching 20°C or dropping to 17°C or below. The near-even market split between 18°C and 19°C reflects residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and localized variations ahead of official IMGW station readings that will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于华沙9月17日最高气温?
19°C 39%
18°C 37%
17°C 13%
20°C 12%
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
13%
18°C
37%
19°C
39%
20°C
12%
21°C
2%
22°C或更高
<1%
19°C 39%
18°C 37%
17°C 13%
20°C 12%
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
13%
18°C
37%
19°C
39%
20°C
12%
21°C
2%
22°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS show a cool, moist westerly flow over Warsaw on September 17, with extensive cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and maximum temperatures peaking near 18–19°C during afternoon hours. This synoptic pattern limits solar heating and promotes evaporative cooling, keeping the daily high tightly clustered between those values while reducing the chance of reaching 20°C or dropping to 17°C or below. The near-even market split between 18°C and 19°C reflects residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and localized variations ahead of official IMGW station readings that will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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