The closely matched 38.5% probabilities for 96–97°F and 98–99°F highs in Austin on September 17 reflect tight model spread in National Weather Service and NOAA guidance, with ensemble runs showing afternoon temperatures hinging on subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover. Late-summer central Texas conditions favor strong diurnal heating under mostly clear skies, but a weak frontal boundary or slight increase in low-level humidity could cap peaks near 96–97°F while drier air allows a push into the upper 90s. Historical September averages near 92–94°F provide baseline context, yet recent warm anomalies and limited precipitation have kept forecasts elevated. Traders are watching the next NWS update and 00Z model cycle for any shift in the 2-meter temperature bias or dewpoint trends before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日奥斯汀的最高温度？
9月17日奥斯汀的最高温度？
96-97°F 39%
98-99°F 39%
94-95°F 12%
100-101°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
85°F或以下
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
12%
96-97°F
39%
98-99°F
39%
100-101°F
7%
102-103°F
1%
104华氏度或更高
<1%
96-97°F 39%
98-99°F 39%
94-95°F 12%
100-101°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
85°F或以下
$401 交易量
1%
86-87°F
$197 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$90 交易量
1%
90-91°F
$90 交易量
1%
92-93°F
$105 交易量
2%
94-95°F
$292 交易量
12%
96-97°F
$185 交易量
39%
98-99°F
$171 交易量
39%
100-101°F
$241 交易量
7%
102-103°F
$26 交易量
1%
104华氏度或更高
$759 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched 38.5% probabilities for 96–97°F and 98–99°F highs in Austin on September 17 reflect tight model spread in National Weather Service and NOAA guidance, with ensemble runs showing afternoon temperatures hinging on subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover. Late-summer central Texas conditions favor strong diurnal heating under mostly clear skies, but a weak frontal boundary or slight increase in low-level humidity could cap peaks near 96–97°F while drier air allows a push into the upper 90s. Historical September averages near 92–94°F provide baseline context, yet recent warm anomalies and limited precipitation have kept forecasts elevated. Traders are watching the next NWS update and 00Z model cycle for any shift in the 2-meter temperature bias or dewpoint trends before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,557结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched 38.5% probabilities for 96–97°F and 98–99°F highs in Austin on September 17 reflect tight model spread in National Weather Service and NOAA guidance, with ensemble runs showing afternoon temperatures hinging on subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover. Late-summer central Texas conditions favor strong diurnal heating under mostly clear skies, but a weak frontal boundary or slight increase in low-level humidity could cap peaks near 96–97°F while drier air allows a push into the upper 90s. Historical September averages near 92–94°F provide baseline context, yet recent warm anomalies and limited precipitation have kept forecasts elevated. Traders are watching the next NWS update and 00Z model cycle for any shift in the 2-meter temperature bias or dewpoint trends before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,557结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThe closely matched 38.5% probabilities for 96–97°F and 98–99°F highs in Austin on September 17 reflect tight model spread in National Weather Service and NOAA guidance, with ensemble runs showing afternoon temperatures hinging on subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover. Late-summer central Texas conditions favor strong diurnal heating under mostly clear skies, but a weak frontal boundary or slight increase in low-level humidity could cap peaks near 96–97°F while drier air allows a push into the upper 90s. Historical September averages near 92–94°F provide baseline context, yet recent warm anomalies and limited precipitation have kept forecasts elevated. Traders are watching the next NWS update and 00Z model cycle for any shift in the 2-meter temperature bias or dewpoint trends before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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