Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models converge on a daily high near 100°F for Austin on September 15 under persistent southerly flow, strong high pressure, and minimal cloud cover, producing the tight clustering around the 98–103°F bins. Subtle model differences in afternoon dew points, boundary-layer mixing, and any thin cirrus could shift the peak by 1–3°F, explaining why 100–101°F leads narrowly while 102–103°F remains competitive. With no fronts or significant moisture expected through the period, the market reflects consensus on continued late-summer heat rather than any single catalyst. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon model runs on September 14 will provide the next key data points.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日奥斯汀的最高温度？
9月15日奥斯汀的最高温度？
100-101°F 40%
96-97华氏度 26%
98-99°F 23%
102-103°F 23%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
91°F或以下
2%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
15%
96-97华氏度
26%
98-99°F
23%
100-101°F
32%
102-103°F
23%
104-105°F
8%
106-107°F
4%
108-109°F
2%
110华氏度或以上
2%
100-101°F 40%
96-97华氏度 26%
98-99°F 23%
102-103°F 23%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
91°F或以下
$0 交易量
2%
92-93°F
$9 交易量
2%
94-95°F
$7 交易量
15%
96-97华氏度
$0 交易量
26%
98-99°F
$0 交易量
23%
100-101°F
$12 交易量
32%
102-103°F
$0 交易量
23%
104-105°F
$0 交易量
8%
106-107°F
$0 交易量
4%
108-109°F
$0 交易量
2%
110华氏度或以上
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models converge on a daily high near 100°F for Austin on September 15 under persistent southerly flow, strong high pressure, and minimal cloud cover, producing the tight clustering around the 98–103°F bins. Subtle model differences in afternoon dew points, boundary-layer mixing, and any thin cirrus could shift the peak by 1–3°F, explaining why 100–101°F leads narrowly while 102–103°F remains competitive. With no fronts or significant moisture expected through the period, the market reflects consensus on continued late-summer heat rather than any single catalyst. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon model runs on September 14 will provide the next key data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
交易量
$28结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models converge on a daily high near 100°F for Austin on September 15 under persistent southerly flow, strong high pressure, and minimal cloud cover, producing the tight clustering around the 98–103°F bins. Subtle model differences in afternoon dew points, boundary-layer mixing, and any thin cirrus could shift the peak by 1–3°F, explaining why 100–101°F leads narrowly while 102–103°F remains competitive. With no fronts or significant moisture expected through the period, the market reflects consensus on continued late-summer heat rather than any single catalyst. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon model runs on September 14 will provide the next key data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$28结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETOfficial forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models converge on a daily high near 100°F for Austin on September 15 under persistent southerly flow, strong high pressure, and minimal cloud cover, producing the tight clustering around the 98–103°F bins. Subtle model differences in afternoon dew points, boundary-layer mixing, and any thin cirrus could shift the peak by 1–3°F, explaining why 100–101°F leads narrowly while 102–103°F remains competitive. With no fronts or significant moisture expected through the period, the market reflects consensus on continued late-summer heat rather than any single catalyst. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon model runs on September 14 will provide the next key data points.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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