**Forecast models indicate a high near 10–12°C in Buenos Aires on September 13, 2026, with southerly flow and building high pressure (around 1030–1035 hPa) suppressing warmer advection while allowing modest daytime heating under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies.** Recent observations show persistent cool conditions following earlier September variability, with surface temperatures currently in the 10–13°C range and dew points supporting limited moisture. The close 42% and 37.5% market-implied odds for 12°C versus 13°C reflect small ensemble spreads in afternoon boundary-layer warming and exact wind shift timing from easterly components, which can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office and local analyses emphasizes light winds (5–10 km/h) and minimal precipitation risk, keeping the outcome sensitive to minor model differences in solar insolation and mixing. Updated runs closer to the event will likely narrow this tight consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度？
9月13日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度？
12°C 41%
13°C 38%
11°C 11%
14°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
8°C或以下
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
3%
11°C
11%
12°C
41%
13°C
38%
14°C
7%
15°C
4%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C或更高
<1%
12°C 41%
13°C 38%
11°C 11%
14°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
8°C或以下
$173 交易量
1%
9°C
$146 交易量
2%
10°C
$140 交易量
3%
11°C
$765 交易量
11%
12°C
$702 交易量
41%
13°C
$490 交易量
38%
14°C
$388 交易量
7%
15°C
$131 交易量
4%
16°C
$133 交易量
1%
17°C
$451 交易量
<1%
18°C或更高
$119 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a high near 10–12°C in Buenos Aires on September 13, 2026, with southerly flow and building high pressure (around 1030–1035 hPa) suppressing warmer advection while allowing modest daytime heating under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies.** Recent observations show persistent cool conditions following earlier September variability, with surface temperatures currently in the 10–13°C range and dew points supporting limited moisture. The close 42% and 37.5% market-implied odds for 12°C versus 13°C reflect small ensemble spreads in afternoon boundary-layer warming and exact wind shift timing from easterly components, which can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office and local analyses emphasizes light winds (5–10 km/h) and minimal precipitation risk, keeping the outcome sensitive to minor model differences in solar insolation and mixing. Updated runs closer to the event will likely narrow this tight consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
交易量
$3,637结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 8:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a high near 10–12°C in Buenos Aires on September 13, 2026, with southerly flow and building high pressure (around 1030–1035 hPa) suppressing warmer advection while allowing modest daytime heating under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies.** Recent observations show persistent cool conditions following earlier September variability, with surface temperatures currently in the 10–13°C range and dew points supporting limited moisture. The close 42% and 37.5% market-implied odds for 12°C versus 13°C reflect small ensemble spreads in afternoon boundary-layer warming and exact wind shift timing from easterly components, which can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office and local analyses emphasizes light winds (5–10 km/h) and minimal precipitation risk, keeping the outcome sensitive to minor model differences in solar insolation and mixing. Updated runs closer to the event will likely narrow this tight consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,637结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 8:55 AM ET**Forecast models indicate a high near 10–12°C in Buenos Aires on September 13, 2026, with southerly flow and building high pressure (around 1030–1035 hPa) suppressing warmer advection while allowing modest daytime heating under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies.** Recent observations show persistent cool conditions following earlier September variability, with surface temperatures currently in the 10–13°C range and dew points supporting limited moisture. The close 42% and 37.5% market-implied odds for 12°C versus 13°C reflect small ensemble spreads in afternoon boundary-layer warming and exact wind shift timing from easterly components, which can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office and local analyses emphasizes light winds (5–10 km/h) and minimal precipitation risk, keeping the outcome sensitive to minor model differences in solar insolation and mixing. Updated runs closer to the event will likely narrow this tight consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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