Persistent southerly winds and a strong high-pressure ridge over the southern Plains have sustained elevated minimum temperatures across central Texas, with National Weather Service guidance projecting an overnight low of 77–79°F for Austin on September 14. This pattern deviates from the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 68°F for the date, reflecting above-normal dew points and minimal radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Model consensus shows little day-to-day change through midweek, with no cold-front passage expected before resolution. Traders appear split on whether subtle forecast revisions or local observation differences could push the minimum outside the 70–79°F window, though current data favor values near 78°F. Updated model runs and NWS evening discussions remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日奥斯汀最低气温？
9月14日奥斯汀最低气温？
69°F或以下 95%
88°F或更高 95%
74-75°F 40%
70-71°F 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
69°F或以下
95%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
40%
76-77华氏度
24%
78-79°F
39%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
39%
86-87°F
39%
88°F或更高
95%
69°F或以下 95%
88°F或更高 95%
74-75°F 40%
70-71°F 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
69°F或以下
$0 交易量
95%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
39%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
39%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
40%
76-77华氏度
$0 交易量
24%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
39%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
39%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
39%
84-85°F
$0 交易量
39%
86-87°F
$0 交易量
39%
88°F或更高
$0 交易量
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southerly winds and a strong high-pressure ridge over the southern Plains have sustained elevated minimum temperatures across central Texas, with National Weather Service guidance projecting an overnight low of 77–79°F for Austin on September 14. This pattern deviates from the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 68°F for the date, reflecting above-normal dew points and minimal radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Model consensus shows little day-to-day change through midweek, with no cold-front passage expected before resolution. Traders appear split on whether subtle forecast revisions or local observation differences could push the minimum outside the 70–79°F window, though current data favor values near 78°F. Updated model runs and NWS evening discussions remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southerly winds and a strong high-pressure ridge over the southern Plains have sustained elevated minimum temperatures across central Texas, with National Weather Service guidance projecting an overnight low of 77–79°F for Austin on September 14. This pattern deviates from the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 68°F for the date, reflecting above-normal dew points and minimal radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Model consensus shows little day-to-day change through midweek, with no cold-front passage expected before resolution. Traders appear split on whether subtle forecast revisions or local observation differences could push the minimum outside the 70–79°F window, though current data favor values near 78°F. Updated model runs and NWS evening discussions remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ETPersistent southerly winds and a strong high-pressure ridge over the southern Plains have sustained elevated minimum temperatures across central Texas, with National Weather Service guidance projecting an overnight low of 77–79°F for Austin on September 14. This pattern deviates from the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 68°F for the date, reflecting above-normal dew points and minimal radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Model consensus shows little day-to-day change through midweek, with no cold-front passage expected before resolution. Traders appear split on whether subtle forecast revisions or local observation differences could push the minimum outside the 70–79°F window, though current data favor values near 78°F. Updated model runs and NWS evening discussions remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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