**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on an overnight low in the mid-to-upper 70s for Austin on September 13, 2026, driven by a persistent warm, moist air mass under southerly flow and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies.** Highs near 98–100 °F reflect strong daytime heating, while limited radiational cooling overnight—due to elevated dew points, light south winds of 5–10 mph, and the absence of a cold front or high-pressure subsidence strong enough for sharp drops—keeps minimum temperatures elevated well above the late-summer climatological average of ~69 °F. Model consensus shows little spread, with no signals for either extreme heat retention pushing lows to 88 °F+ or advection of cooler air that could reach the 60s. Trader sentiment appears split between the two outlier bins because short-range forecast uncertainty and resolution criteria (exact hourly minimum) can still shift a few degrees with final model runs or local observations, even as the central tendency points to 76–79 °F. No major pattern changes are expected before the period resolves.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日奥斯汀最低气温?
88°F或更高 62%
69°F或以下 59%
82-83°F 37%
84-85°F 37%
69°F或以下
59%
70-71°F
36%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
31%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
37%
84-85°F
37%
86-87°F
37%
88°F或更高
62%
88°F或更高 62%
69°F或以下 59%
82-83°F 37%
84-85°F 37%
69°F或以下
59%
70-71°F
36%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
31%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
37%
84-85°F
37%
86-87°F
37%
88°F或更高
62%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 11, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on an overnight low in the mid-to-upper 70s for Austin on September 13, 2026, driven by a persistent warm, moist air mass under southerly flow and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies.** Highs near 98–100 °F reflect strong daytime heating, while limited radiational cooling overnight—due to elevated dew points, light south winds of 5–10 mph, and the absence of a cold front or high-pressure subsidence strong enough for sharp drops—keeps minimum temperatures elevated well above the late-summer climatological average of ~69 °F. Model consensus shows little spread, with no signals for either extreme heat retention pushing lows to 88 °F+ or advection of cooler air that could reach the 60s. Trader sentiment appears split between the two outlier bins because short-range forecast uncertainty and resolution criteria (exact hourly minimum) can still shift a few degrees with final model runs or local observations, even as the central tendency points to 76–79 °F. No major pattern changes are expected before the period resolves.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题