Official meteorological observations from London-area stations, including Heathrow, recorded a daily maximum of 23°C under partly cloudy skies with southwesterly winds, aligning with Met Office guidance and model consensus for the date. This outcome exceeds the 1991–2020 average high of 20.5°C yet falls well below historical extremes such as the 32.8°C peak from 2016. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects real-time surface data and the absence of late-day warming or measurement discrepancies that could shift the recorded high. Minor adjustments remain possible only if official post-analysis revises station readings, though such changes are rare for well-monitored urban sites.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日伦敦气温最高？
9月12日伦敦气温最高？
23°C 100.0%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$82,069 交易量
$82,069 交易量
2026-09-12
17°C或以下
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
是
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C或更高
否
23°C 100.0%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$82,069 交易量
$82,069 交易量
2026-09-12
17°C或以下
$360 交易量
否
18°C
$3,171 交易量
否
19°C
$1,641 交易量
否
20°C
$3,835 交易量
否
21°C
$8,660 交易量
否
22°C
$11,220 交易量
否
23°C
$17,813 交易量
是
24°C
$13,956 交易量
否
25°C
$13,537 交易量
否
26°C
$6,426 交易量
否
27°C或更高
$1,452 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from London-area stations, including Heathrow, recorded a daily maximum of 23°C under partly cloudy skies with southwesterly winds, aligning with Met Office guidance and model consensus for the date. This outcome exceeds the 1991–2020 average high of 20.5°C yet falls well below historical extremes such as the 32.8°C peak from 2016. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects real-time surface data and the absence of late-day warming or measurement discrepancies that could shift the recorded high. Minor adjustments remain possible only if official post-analysis revises station readings, though such changes are rare for well-monitored urban sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$82,069结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from London-area stations, including Heathrow, recorded a daily maximum of 23°C under partly cloudy skies with southwesterly winds, aligning with Met Office guidance and model consensus for the date. This outcome exceeds the 1991–2020 average high of 20.5°C yet falls well below historical extremes such as the 32.8°C peak from 2016. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects real-time surface data and the absence of late-day warming or measurement discrepancies that could shift the recorded high. Minor adjustments remain possible only if official post-analysis revises station readings, though such changes are rare for well-monitored urban sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$82,069结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official meteorological observations from London-area stations, including Heathrow, recorded a daily maximum of 23°C under partly cloudy skies with southwesterly winds, aligning with Met Office guidance and model consensus for the date. This outcome exceeds the 1991–2020 average high of 20.5°C yet falls well below historical extremes such as the 32.8°C peak from 2016. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects real-time surface data and the absence of late-day warming or measurement discrepancies that could shift the recorded high. Minor adjustments remain possible only if official post-analysis revises station readings, though such changes are rare for well-monitored urban sites.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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