Recent forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Service of Mexico and international ensembles point to a maximum temperature of 22–24°C in Mexico City on September 14, shaped by the ongoing rainy season’s cloud cover, easterly moisture influx, and light winds that limit daytime heating. Persistent precipitation chances near 60% further moderate peaks, consistent with historical September averages near 23–25°C at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Market-implied odds heavily weighting 24°C reflect this consensus, while the combined 34% probability on 25°C or higher accounts for potential model spread or brief clearing. Updated runs from NOAA and regional agencies over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日墨西哥城气温最高？
9月14日墨西哥城气温最高？
24°C 42%
26°C或更高 31%
25°C 22%
23°C 21%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
16°C或以下
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
11%
23°C
21%
24°C
42%
25°C
22%
26°C或更高
31%
24°C 42%
26°C或更高 31%
25°C 22%
23°C 21%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
16°C或以下
$0 交易量
4%
17°C
$0 交易量
4%
18°C
$0 交易量
4%
19°C
$0 交易量
4%
20°C
$0 交易量
2%
21°C
$0 交易量
3%
22°C
$0 交易量
11%
23°C
$216 交易量
21%
24°C
$47 交易量
42%
25°C
$0 交易量
22%
26°C或更高
$0 交易量
31%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Service of Mexico and international ensembles point to a maximum temperature of 22–24°C in Mexico City on September 14, shaped by the ongoing rainy season’s cloud cover, easterly moisture influx, and light winds that limit daytime heating. Persistent precipitation chances near 60% further moderate peaks, consistent with historical September averages near 23–25°C at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Market-implied odds heavily weighting 24°C reflect this consensus, while the combined 34% probability on 25°C or higher accounts for potential model spread or brief clearing. Updated runs from NOAA and regional agencies over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
交易量
$263结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 8:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Service of Mexico and international ensembles point to a maximum temperature of 22–24°C in Mexico City on September 14, shaped by the ongoing rainy season’s cloud cover, easterly moisture influx, and light winds that limit daytime heating. Persistent precipitation chances near 60% further moderate peaks, consistent with historical September averages near 23–25°C at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Market-implied odds heavily weighting 24°C reflect this consensus, while the combined 34% probability on 25°C or higher accounts for potential model spread or brief clearing. Updated runs from NOAA and regional agencies over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$263结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 8:56 AM ETRecent forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Service of Mexico and international ensembles point to a maximum temperature of 22–24°C in Mexico City on September 14, shaped by the ongoing rainy season’s cloud cover, easterly moisture influx, and light winds that limit daytime heating. Persistent precipitation chances near 60% further moderate peaks, consistent with historical September averages near 23–25°C at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Market-implied odds heavily weighting 24°C reflect this consensus, while the combined 34% probability on 25°C or higher accounts for potential model spread or brief clearing. Updated runs from NOAA and regional agencies over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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