Recent forecasts from multiple models, including DWD and ECMWF outputs, point to mostly clear skies and light northwesterly winds over Munich on September 12, supporting a daily maximum near the 20–22°C range amid typical mid-September cooling. High-pressure dominance has suppressed cloud cover and precipitation chances below 10% in afternoon hours, aligning with the historical average high of 20°C while limiting potential for stronger warming. Market-implied odds favoring 23°C reflect trader weighting of ensemble guidance showing modest afternoon peaks near 21–22°C, with lower probabilities for 24°C or higher tied to the absence of southerly flow or anomalous ridging that could elevate readings further. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日慕尼黑的最高温度？
9月12日慕尼黑的最高温度？
23°C 49%
22°C 18%
24°C 16%
20°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
19°C或以下
4%
20°C
9%
21°C
9%
22°C
25%
23°C
49%
24°C
16%
25°C
5%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或更高
<1%
23°C 49%
22°C 18%
24°C 16%
20°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
19°C或以下
$0 交易量
4%
20°C
$0 交易量
9%
21°C
$0 交易量
9%
22°C
$30 交易量
25%
23°C
$69 交易量
49%
24°C
$0 交易量
16%
25°C
$11 交易量
5%
26°C
$0 交易量
1%
27°C
$0 交易量
1%
28°C
$25 交易量
<1%
29°C或更高
$25 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including DWD and ECMWF outputs, point to mostly clear skies and light northwesterly winds over Munich on September 12, supporting a daily maximum near the 20–22°C range amid typical mid-September cooling. High-pressure dominance has suppressed cloud cover and precipitation chances below 10% in afternoon hours, aligning with the historical average high of 20°C while limiting potential for stronger warming. Market-implied odds favoring 23°C reflect trader weighting of ensemble guidance showing modest afternoon peaks near 21–22°C, with lower probabilities for 24°C or higher tied to the absence of southerly flow or anomalous ridging that could elevate readings further. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$158结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including DWD and ECMWF outputs, point to mostly clear skies and light northwesterly winds over Munich on September 12, supporting a daily maximum near the 20–22°C range amid typical mid-September cooling. High-pressure dominance has suppressed cloud cover and precipitation chances below 10% in afternoon hours, aligning with the historical average high of 20°C while limiting potential for stronger warming. Market-implied odds favoring 23°C reflect trader weighting of ensemble guidance showing modest afternoon peaks near 21–22°C, with lower probabilities for 24°C or higher tied to the absence of southerly flow or anomalous ridging that could elevate readings further. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$158结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models, including DWD and ECMWF outputs, point to mostly clear skies and light northwesterly winds over Munich on September 12, supporting a daily maximum near the 20–22°C range amid typical mid-September cooling. High-pressure dominance has suppressed cloud cover and precipitation chances below 10% in afternoon hours, aligning with the historical average high of 20°C while limiting potential for stronger warming. Market-implied odds favoring 23°C reflect trader weighting of ensemble guidance showing modest afternoon peaks near 21–22°C, with lower probabilities for 24°C or higher tied to the absence of southerly flow or anomalous ridging that could elevate readings further. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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