Current forecasts from multiple models place Munich's overnight minimum on September 12 around 8–12°C under mostly clear skies and light winds, consistent with the 10.5°C climatological average low. This setup favors moderate radiational cooling but keeps temperatures well above the 4°C threshold and below the 14°C mark that currently split market-implied odds near 50%. Key variables include the degree of cloud cover overnight and any late shifts in the 850 hPa airmass; clearer conditions could push readings toward the lower end of the range while increased moisture or wind would limit cooling. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs plus official DWD guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact minimum and likely drive the next adjustments in trader positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日慕尼黑最低气温？
9月12日慕尼黑最低气温？
4°C或以下 99%
14°C或更高 98%
6°C 39%
7°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
4°C或以下
99%
5°C
35%
6°C
39%
7°C
39%
8°C
37%
9°C
37%
10°C
37%
11°C
19%
12°C
18%
13°C
18%
14°C或更高
98%
4°C或以下 99%
14°C或更高 98%
6°C 39%
7°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
4°C或以下
$0 交易量
99%
5°C
$0 交易量
35%
6°C
$0 交易量
39%
7°C
$0 交易量
39%
8°C
$0 交易量
37%
9°C
$0 交易量
37%
10°C
$0 交易量
37%
11°C
$0 交易量
19%
12°C
$0 交易量
18%
13°C
$0 交易量
18%
14°C或更高
$0 交易量
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models place Munich's overnight minimum on September 12 around 8–12°C under mostly clear skies and light winds, consistent with the 10.5°C climatological average low. This setup favors moderate radiational cooling but keeps temperatures well above the 4°C threshold and below the 14°C mark that currently split market-implied odds near 50%. Key variables include the degree of cloud cover overnight and any late shifts in the 850 hPa airmass; clearer conditions could push readings toward the lower end of the range while increased moisture or wind would limit cooling. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs plus official DWD guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact minimum and likely drive the next adjustments in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models place Munich's overnight minimum on September 12 around 8–12°C under mostly clear skies and light winds, consistent with the 10.5°C climatological average low. This setup favors moderate radiational cooling but keeps temperatures well above the 4°C threshold and below the 14°C mark that currently split market-implied odds near 50%. Key variables include the degree of cloud cover overnight and any late shifts in the 850 hPa airmass; clearer conditions could push readings toward the lower end of the range while increased moisture or wind would limit cooling. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs plus official DWD guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact minimum and likely drive the next adjustments in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETCurrent forecasts from multiple models place Munich's overnight minimum on September 12 around 8–12°C under mostly clear skies and light winds, consistent with the 10.5°C climatological average low. This setup favors moderate radiational cooling but keeps temperatures well above the 4°C threshold and below the 14°C mark that currently split market-implied odds near 50%. Key variables include the degree of cloud cover overnight and any late shifts in the 850 hPa airmass; clearer conditions could push readings toward the lower end of the range while increased moisture or wind would limit cooling. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs plus official DWD guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact minimum and likely drive the next adjustments in trader positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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