Persistent northerly flow and widespread cloud cover with scattered showers have suppressed daytime heating in Tokyo on September 10, keeping temperatures well below seasonal norms. Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and multiple model runs converge on a maximum near 22°C, with observations through midday holding in the low 20s amid light rain and high humidity. This recent cooling, following hotter conditions earlier in the month, underpins the market's strong preference for 22°C as the most likely outcome, while lower probabilities for 21°C or 23°C reflect minor uncertainties in shower timing and exact peak. Historical September highs average around 28°C, highlighting how the current synoptic pattern has shifted the distribution downward. Real-time station data from the Tokyo observatory will finalize the resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月10日东京气温最高？
9月10日东京气温最高？
22°C 60%
21°C 28%
23°C 11%
24°C 3%
最新
$31,862 交易量
最新
$31,862 交易量
2026-09-10
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
28%
22°C
60%
23°C
11%
24°C
3%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或更高
<1%
22°C 60%
21°C 28%
23°C 11%
24°C 3%
最新
$31,862 交易量
最新
$31,862 交易量
2026-09-10
17°C或以下
$1,322 交易量
<1%
18°C
$1,227 交易量
<1%
19°C
$451 交易量
<1%
20°C
$1,437 交易量
<1%
21°C
$5,849 交易量
28%
22°C
$4,087 交易量
60%
23°C
$4,193 交易量
11%
24°C
$3,044 交易量
3%
25°C
$4,524 交易量
<1%
26°C
$2,646 交易量
<1%
27°C或更高
$3,083 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent northerly flow and widespread cloud cover with scattered showers have suppressed daytime heating in Tokyo on September 10, keeping temperatures well below seasonal norms. Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and multiple model runs converge on a maximum near 22°C, with observations through midday holding in the low 20s amid light rain and high humidity. This recent cooling, following hotter conditions earlier in the month, underpins the market's strong preference for 22°C as the most likely outcome, while lower probabilities for 21°C or 23°C reflect minor uncertainties in shower timing and exact peak. Historical September highs average around 28°C, highlighting how the current synoptic pattern has shifted the distribution downward. Real-time station data from the Tokyo observatory will finalize the resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$31,862结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent northerly flow and widespread cloud cover with scattered showers have suppressed daytime heating in Tokyo on September 10, keeping temperatures well below seasonal norms. Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and multiple model runs converge on a maximum near 22°C, with observations through midday holding in the low 20s amid light rain and high humidity. This recent cooling, following hotter conditions earlier in the month, underpins the market's strong preference for 22°C as the most likely outcome, while lower probabilities for 21°C or 23°C reflect minor uncertainties in shower timing and exact peak. Historical September highs average around 28°C, highlighting how the current synoptic pattern has shifted the distribution downward. Real-time station data from the Tokyo observatory will finalize the resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$31,862结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETPersistent northerly flow and widespread cloud cover with scattered showers have suppressed daytime heating in Tokyo on September 10, keeping temperatures well below seasonal norms. Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and multiple model runs converge on a maximum near 22°C, with observations through midday holding in the low 20s amid light rain and high humidity. This recent cooling, following hotter conditions earlier in the month, underpins the market's strong preference for 22°C as the most likely outcome, while lower probabilities for 21°C or 23°C reflect minor uncertainties in shower timing and exact peak. Historical September highs average around 28°C, highlighting how the current synoptic pattern has shifted the distribution downward. Real-time station data from the Tokyo observatory will finalize the resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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