Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models indicate NYC peak temperatures on September 9 will likely fall in the low-to-mid 80s°F, driven by southerly flow advecting warmer, humid air ahead of a weak front while partly cloudy skies permit sufficient solar heating without excessive mixing. Afternoon wind speeds of 8–13 mph from the south-southwest and dew points near 60–65°F support heat indices slightly above air temperatures but limit extreme spikes. Recent model consensus has tightened around 84–86°F maxima, narrowing the spread between 82–85°F bins that dominate market-implied odds; minor timing differences in cloud cover or wind gusts could shift the daily high by 1–2°F. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical September baselines near 78–80°F, with fresh guidance releases expected to refine resolution before evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月9日纽约市最高气温？
9月9日纽约市最高气温？
84-85华氏度 45%
82-83°F 37%
86-87华氏度 8%
80-81°F 7%
最新
$22,566 交易量
最新
$22,566 交易量
2026-09-09
75华氏度或以下
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
37%
84-85华氏度
45%
86-87华氏度
8%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
1%
94华氏度或更高
<1%
84-85华氏度 45%
82-83°F 37%
86-87华氏度 8%
80-81°F 7%
最新
$22,566 交易量
最新
$22,566 交易量
2026-09-09
75华氏度或以下
$440 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$424 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$884 交易量
1%
80-81°F
$2,146 交易量
7%
82-83°F
$4,820 交易量
37%
84-85华氏度
$6,298 交易量
45%
86-87华氏度
$4,294 交易量
8%
88-89°F
$1,086 交易量
2%
90-91°F
$984 交易量
2%
92-93°F
$532 交易量
1%
94华氏度或更高
$657 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models indicate NYC peak temperatures on September 9 will likely fall in the low-to-mid 80s°F, driven by southerly flow advecting warmer, humid air ahead of a weak front while partly cloudy skies permit sufficient solar heating without excessive mixing. Afternoon wind speeds of 8–13 mph from the south-southwest and dew points near 60–65°F support heat indices slightly above air temperatures but limit extreme spikes. Recent model consensus has tightened around 84–86°F maxima, narrowing the spread between 82–85°F bins that dominate market-implied odds; minor timing differences in cloud cover or wind gusts could shift the daily high by 1–2°F. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical September baselines near 78–80°F, with fresh guidance releases expected to refine resolution before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 7, 2026, 2:55 AM ET
交易量
$22,566结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 2:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models indicate NYC peak temperatures on September 9 will likely fall in the low-to-mid 80s°F, driven by southerly flow advecting warmer, humid air ahead of a weak front while partly cloudy skies permit sufficient solar heating without excessive mixing. Afternoon wind speeds of 8–13 mph from the south-southwest and dew points near 60–65°F support heat indices slightly above air temperatures but limit extreme spikes. Recent model consensus has tightened around 84–86°F maxima, narrowing the spread between 82–85°F bins that dominate market-implied odds; minor timing differences in cloud cover or wind gusts could shift the daily high by 1–2°F. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical September baselines near 78–80°F, with fresh guidance releases expected to refine resolution before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$22,566结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 2:55 AM ETOfficial forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models indicate NYC peak temperatures on September 9 will likely fall in the low-to-mid 80s°F, driven by southerly flow advecting warmer, humid air ahead of a weak front while partly cloudy skies permit sufficient solar heating without excessive mixing. Afternoon wind speeds of 8–13 mph from the south-southwest and dew points near 60–65°F support heat indices slightly above air temperatures but limit extreme spikes. Recent model consensus has tightened around 84–86°F maxima, narrowing the spread between 82–85°F bins that dominate market-implied odds; minor timing differences in cloud cover or wind gusts could shift the daily high by 1–2°F. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical September baselines near 78–80°F, with fresh guidance releases expected to refine resolution before evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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