Recent cold air advection and widespread rainfall over the Sichuan Basin have driven a sharp temperature drop, with official forecasts showing Chengdu's September 11 overnight low settling near 16–18°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies. Persistent cloud cover limits radiative cooling while light winds and residual moisture moderate extremes, keeping probabilities balanced between sub-15°C and mid-20s outcomes. Model consensus from regional guidance highlights sensitivity to exact timing of clearing and precipitation intensity, which can shift the minimum by 2–3°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and local stations will refine these details ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日成都最低气温？
9月11日成都最低气温？
14°C或以下 94%
24°C或更高 93%
20°C 40%
15°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
14°C或以下
94%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
20%
18°C
22%
19°C
22%
20°C
40%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C或更高
93%
14°C或以下 94%
24°C或更高 93%
20°C 40%
15°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
14°C或以下
$0 交易量
94%
15°C
$0 交易量
39%
16°C
$0 交易量
39%
17°C
$0 交易量
20%
18°C
$0 交易量
22%
19°C
$0 交易量
22%
20°C
$0 交易量
40%
21°C
$0 交易量
39%
22°C
$0 交易量
39%
23°C
$0 交易量
39%
24°C或更高
$0 交易量
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold air advection and widespread rainfall over the Sichuan Basin have driven a sharp temperature drop, with official forecasts showing Chengdu's September 11 overnight low settling near 16–18°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies. Persistent cloud cover limits radiative cooling while light winds and residual moisture moderate extremes, keeping probabilities balanced between sub-15°C and mid-20s outcomes. Model consensus from regional guidance highlights sensitivity to exact timing of clearing and precipitation intensity, which can shift the minimum by 2–3°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and local stations will refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold air advection and widespread rainfall over the Sichuan Basin have driven a sharp temperature drop, with official forecasts showing Chengdu's September 11 overnight low settling near 16–18°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies. Persistent cloud cover limits radiative cooling while light winds and residual moisture moderate extremes, keeping probabilities balanced between sub-15°C and mid-20s outcomes. Model consensus from regional guidance highlights sensitivity to exact timing of clearing and precipitation intensity, which can shift the minimum by 2–3°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and local stations will refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent cold air advection and widespread rainfall over the Sichuan Basin have driven a sharp temperature drop, with official forecasts showing Chengdu's September 11 overnight low settling near 16–18°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies. Persistent cloud cover limits radiative cooling while light winds and residual moisture moderate extremes, keeping probabilities balanced between sub-15°C and mid-20s outcomes. Model consensus from regional guidance highlights sensitivity to exact timing of clearing and precipitation intensity, which can shift the minimum by 2–3°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and local stations will refine these details ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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