**Incoming cold air and widespread rain are driving trader focus on Chengdu’s minimum temperature for September 9.** Official and model guidance show a noticeable cooldown beginning September 8 evening, with northerly winds of 4–7 m/s and moderate-to-heavy precipitation through the night and following day. This setup favors a minimum near 18–21 °C, consistent with the closely bunched market prices around 19–22 °C. Ensemble forecasts place the overnight low in that narrow band, though exact timing of heaviest rain and local wind gusts introduce modest spread. Historical early-September minima in the Sichuan Basin average near 20–22 °C, so the current cold-air intrusion represents a clear departure that traders are pricing with tight probabilities across the 19–22 °C outcomes. Updated model runs and any revised China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of resolution will be the next key data points.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月9日成都最低气温？
9月9日成都最低气温？
21°C 27%
20°C 27%
19°C 26%
22°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
16°C或以下
3%
17°C
9%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C或以上
1%
21°C 27%
20°C 27%
19°C 26%
22°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
16°C或以下
$25 交易量
3%
17°C
$37 交易量
9%
18°C
$0 交易量
26%
19°C
$0 交易量
26%
20°C
$0 交易量
27%
21°C
$0 交易量
27%
22°C
$0 交易量
26%
23°C
$0 交易量
26%
24°C
$10 交易量
5%
25°C
$150 交易量
1%
26°C或以上
$80 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Incoming cold air and widespread rain are driving trader focus on Chengdu’s minimum temperature for September 9.** Official and model guidance show a noticeable cooldown beginning September 8 evening, with northerly winds of 4–7 m/s and moderate-to-heavy precipitation through the night and following day. This setup favors a minimum near 18–21 °C, consistent with the closely bunched market prices around 19–22 °C. Ensemble forecasts place the overnight low in that narrow band, though exact timing of heaviest rain and local wind gusts introduce modest spread. Historical early-September minima in the Sichuan Basin average near 20–22 °C, so the current cold-air intrusion represents a clear departure that traders are pricing with tight probabilities across the 19–22 °C outcomes. Updated model runs and any revised China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of resolution will be the next key data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$301结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Incoming cold air and widespread rain are driving trader focus on Chengdu’s minimum temperature for September 9.** Official and model guidance show a noticeable cooldown beginning September 8 evening, with northerly winds of 4–7 m/s and moderate-to-heavy precipitation through the night and following day. This setup favors a minimum near 18–21 °C, consistent with the closely bunched market prices around 19–22 °C. Ensemble forecasts place the overnight low in that narrow band, though exact timing of heaviest rain and local wind gusts introduce modest spread. Historical early-September minima in the Sichuan Basin average near 20–22 °C, so the current cold-air intrusion represents a clear departure that traders are pricing with tight probabilities across the 19–22 °C outcomes. Updated model runs and any revised China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of resolution will be the next key data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$301结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Incoming cold air and widespread rain are driving trader focus on Chengdu’s minimum temperature for September 9.** Official and model guidance show a noticeable cooldown beginning September 8 evening, with northerly winds of 4–7 m/s and moderate-to-heavy precipitation through the night and following day. This setup favors a minimum near 18–21 °C, consistent with the closely bunched market prices around 19–22 °C. Ensemble forecasts place the overnight low in that narrow band, though exact timing of heaviest rain and local wind gusts introduce modest spread. Historical early-September minima in the Sichuan Basin average near 20–22 °C, so the current cold-air intrusion represents a clear departure that traders are pricing with tight probabilities across the 19–22 °C outcomes. Updated model runs and any revised China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of resolution will be the next key data points.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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