Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate cloudy conditions with occasional scattered showers for Tokyo on September 8, following heavy rainfall and linear precipitation bands earlier in the weekend. This pattern favors maximum temperatures in the 27–30°C range, as persistent cloud cover and moisture limit solar insolation and surface heating compared to clearer September climatology (historical daily normals near 28–29°C). Ensemble model guidance shows modest spread due to variable steering flows and humidity levels, with southerly winds potentially enhancing or suppressing peaks depending on timing of any breaks in cloudiness. Trader consensus, reflected in leading market-implied odds near 28–29°C, aligns with these factors while acknowledging forecast uncertainty ahead of updated model runs and JMA briefings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月8日东京气温最高？
9月8日东京气温最高？
29°C 29%
28°C 22%
27°C 19%
30°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
26°C或以下
7%
27°C
19%
28°C
22%
29°C
29%
30°C
13%
31°C
12%
32°C
3%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C或更高
1%
29°C 29%
28°C 22%
27°C 19%
30°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
26°C或以下
$85 交易量
7%
27°C
$21 交易量
19%
28°C
$37 交易量
22%
29°C
$69 交易量
29%
30°C
$83 交易量
13%
31°C
$0 交易量
12%
32°C
$0 交易量
3%
33°C
$0 交易量
4%
34°C
$115 交易量
1%
35°C
$115 交易量
1%
36°C或更高
$116 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate cloudy conditions with occasional scattered showers for Tokyo on September 8, following heavy rainfall and linear precipitation bands earlier in the weekend. This pattern favors maximum temperatures in the 27–30°C range, as persistent cloud cover and moisture limit solar insolation and surface heating compared to clearer September climatology (historical daily normals near 28–29°C). Ensemble model guidance shows modest spread due to variable steering flows and humidity levels, with southerly winds potentially enhancing or suppressing peaks depending on timing of any breaks in cloudiness. Trader consensus, reflected in leading market-implied odds near 28–29°C, aligns with these factors while acknowledging forecast uncertainty ahead of updated model runs and JMA briefings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$641结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate cloudy conditions with occasional scattered showers for Tokyo on September 8, following heavy rainfall and linear precipitation bands earlier in the weekend. This pattern favors maximum temperatures in the 27–30°C range, as persistent cloud cover and moisture limit solar insolation and surface heating compared to clearer September climatology (historical daily normals near 28–29°C). Ensemble model guidance shows modest spread due to variable steering flows and humidity levels, with southerly winds potentially enhancing or suppressing peaks depending on timing of any breaks in cloudiness. Trader consensus, reflected in leading market-implied odds near 28–29°C, aligns with these factors while acknowledging forecast uncertainty ahead of updated model runs and JMA briefings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$641结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate cloudy conditions with occasional scattered showers for Tokyo on September 8, following heavy rainfall and linear precipitation bands earlier in the weekend. This pattern favors maximum temperatures in the 27–30°C range, as persistent cloud cover and moisture limit solar insolation and surface heating compared to clearer September climatology (historical daily normals near 28–29°C). Ensemble model guidance shows modest spread due to variable steering flows and humidity levels, with southerly winds potentially enhancing or suppressing peaks depending on timing of any breaks in cloudiness. Trader consensus, reflected in leading market-implied odds near 28–29°C, aligns with these factors while acknowledging forecast uncertainty ahead of updated model runs and JMA briefings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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