Recent NOAA and National Weather Service ensemble forecasts for downtown Los Angeles on September 8 point to a highest temperature in the mid-80s, with 84–87°F ranges commanding over 47% combined implied probability due to moderate onshore flow and a persistent marine layer moderating coastal heating. Model consensus shows a strong high-pressure ridge offshore limiting extreme warming, though slight differences in the depth of the inversion and afternoon sea-breeze timing create the tight spread between 84–85°F and 86–87°F outcomes. Historical September baselines average 81–84°F, so current guidance reflects modestly above-normal conditions without strong offshore winds or heat-wave signals. Updated model runs and afternoon observations over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月8日洛杉矶气温最高？
9月8日洛杉矶气温最高？
84-85°F 27%
86-87°F 24%
88-89°F 17%
80-81°F 15%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
73°F或以下
7%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
24%
88-89°F
17%
90-91°F
4%
92°F或更高
9%
84-85°F 27%
86-87°F 24%
88-89°F 17%
80-81°F 15%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
73°F或以下
$0 交易量
7%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
7%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
7%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
14%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
15%
82-83°F
$9 交易量
12%
84-85°F
$116 交易量
27%
86-87°F
$57 交易量
24%
88-89°F
$11 交易量
17%
90-91°F
$0 交易量
4%
92°F或更高
$98 交易量
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NOAA and National Weather Service ensemble forecasts for downtown Los Angeles on September 8 point to a highest temperature in the mid-80s, with 84–87°F ranges commanding over 47% combined implied probability due to moderate onshore flow and a persistent marine layer moderating coastal heating. Model consensus shows a strong high-pressure ridge offshore limiting extreme warming, though slight differences in the depth of the inversion and afternoon sea-breeze timing create the tight spread between 84–85°F and 86–87°F outcomes. Historical September baselines average 81–84°F, so current guidance reflects modestly above-normal conditions without strong offshore winds or heat-wave signals. Updated model runs and afternoon observations over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 6, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
交易量
$290结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 7:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NOAA and National Weather Service ensemble forecasts for downtown Los Angeles on September 8 point to a highest temperature in the mid-80s, with 84–87°F ranges commanding over 47% combined implied probability due to moderate onshore flow and a persistent marine layer moderating coastal heating. Model consensus shows a strong high-pressure ridge offshore limiting extreme warming, though slight differences in the depth of the inversion and afternoon sea-breeze timing create the tight spread between 84–85°F and 86–87°F outcomes. Historical September baselines average 81–84°F, so current guidance reflects modestly above-normal conditions without strong offshore winds or heat-wave signals. Updated model runs and afternoon observations over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$290结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 7:56 AM ETRecent NOAA and National Weather Service ensemble forecasts for downtown Los Angeles on September 8 point to a highest temperature in the mid-80s, with 84–87°F ranges commanding over 47% combined implied probability due to moderate onshore flow and a persistent marine layer moderating coastal heating. Model consensus shows a strong high-pressure ridge offshore limiting extreme warming, though slight differences in the depth of the inversion and afternoon sea-breeze timing create the tight spread between 84–85°F and 86–87°F outcomes. Historical September baselines average 81–84°F, so current guidance reflects modestly above-normal conditions without strong offshore winds or heat-wave signals. Updated model runs and afternoon observations over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题