Official meteorological observations from stations in Panama City, Panama, recorded a maximum temperature of 34°C on September 8, 2026, during the wet season when typical highs range 29–31°C under the influence of the Intertropical Convergence Zone. This outcome aligns with short-term variability from reduced cloud cover and localized heating, producing the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability once the calendar day closed and verified data became available. Forecasters from regional agencies had anticipated values near 30°C, yet actual readings exceeded climatological norms by several degrees. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision or a switch to an alternate reference station reporting a lower peak, though such adjustments remain uncommon for completed daily records.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月8日巴拿马城气温最高?
34°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$21,303 交易量
$21,303 交易量
25°C或以下
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
是
35°C或更高
否
34°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$21,303 交易量
$21,303 交易量
25°C或以下
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
是
35°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 6, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official meteorological observations from stations in Panama City, Panama, recorded a maximum temperature of 34°C on September 8, 2026, during the wet season when typical highs range 29–31°C under the influence of the Intertropical Convergence Zone. This outcome aligns with short-term variability from reduced cloud cover and localized heating, producing the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability once the calendar day closed and verified data became available. Forecasters from regional agencies had anticipated values near 30°C, yet actual readings exceeded climatological norms by several degrees. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision or a switch to an alternate reference station reporting a lower peak, though such adjustments remain uncommon for completed daily records.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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