Current forecast models for Panama City show peak temperatures on September 9 likely falling between 29–33 °C amid the rainy season’s high humidity and frequent afternoon convection. Thunderstorm development, driven by strong diurnal heating and abundant atmospheric moisture, introduces key variability: early or widespread storms can suppress maxima through cloud shading and evaporative cooling, while delayed or localized activity allows higher readings. Official guidance from regional meteorological services highlights this uncertainty, with ensemble spreads reflecting differences in timing and intensity of precipitation. Traders’ even distribution across the 29–33 °C outcomes captures these meteorological thresholds and the limited lead time before resolution. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the most probable range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月9日巴拿马城气温最高?
33°C 50%
31°C 49%
32°C 49%
30°C 23%
24°C或以下
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
16%
30°C
23%
31°C
49%
32°C
49%
33°C
50%
34°C或更高
7%
33°C 50%
31°C 49%
32°C 49%
30°C 23%
24°C或以下
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
16%
30°C
23%
31°C
49%
32°C
49%
33°C
50%
34°C或更高
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models for Panama City show peak temperatures on September 9 likely falling between 29–33 °C amid the rainy season’s high humidity and frequent afternoon convection. Thunderstorm development, driven by strong diurnal heating and abundant atmospheric moisture, introduces key variability: early or widespread storms can suppress maxima through cloud shading and evaporative cooling, while delayed or localized activity allows higher readings. Official guidance from regional meteorological services highlights this uncertainty, with ensemble spreads reflecting differences in timing and intensity of precipitation. Traders’ even distribution across the 29–33 °C outcomes captures these meteorological thresholds and the limited lead time before resolution. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the most probable range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题