Current forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate a minimum temperature near 18–20°C for Toronto on September 9, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and southerly flow that limits overnight radiational cooling. High humidity and a risk of thunderstorms further moderate temperature drops compared to the 15°C climatological average low. Trader consensus, reflected in the 40% implied probability for 14°C or below, accounts for forecast uncertainty and potential localized cooling, while probabilities cluster around 17–19°C outcomes amid stable model agreement on mild conditions. Updated observations early on September 9 and any evening model revisions could refine these market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月9日多伦多最低气温?
14°C或以下 80%
17°C 36%
19°C 36%
20°C 36%
14°C或以下
80%
15°C
1%
16°C
35%
17°C
36%
18°C
13%
19°C
36%
20°C
36%
21°C
36%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或更高
<1%
14°C或以下 80%
17°C 36%
19°C 36%
20°C 36%
14°C或以下
80%
15°C
1%
16°C
35%
17°C
36%
18°C
13%
19°C
36%
20°C
36%
21°C
36%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 7, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate a minimum temperature near 18–20°C for Toronto on September 9, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and southerly flow that limits overnight radiational cooling. High humidity and a risk of thunderstorms further moderate temperature drops compared to the 15°C climatological average low. Trader consensus, reflected in the 40% implied probability for 14°C or below, accounts for forecast uncertainty and potential localized cooling, while probabilities cluster around 17–19°C outcomes amid stable model agreement on mild conditions. Updated observations early on September 9 and any evening model revisions could refine these market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


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警惕外部链接哦。
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