Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Chicago on September 11 centers on the 78–81°F range due to ensemble model guidance projecting mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow behind a weak frontal passage. Recent runs from the GFS and ECMWF indicate modest daytime heating under high pressure, with surface temperatures supported by dew points in the mid-50s and minimal cloud cover after morning clearing. Differentiation between the leading bins hinges on boundary-layer mixing depth, potential lake-breeze moderation from Lake Michigan, and slight variations in 850-hPa temperatures across model members. Official National Weather Service guidance currently favors a high near 76°F, while private-sector blends trend a few degrees warmer; the next model cycle and afternoon update will likely resolve the narrow spread before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日芝加哥气温最高？
9月11日芝加哥气温最高？
80-81°F 48%
78-79华氏度 41%
82-83华氏度 9%
76-77°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
71°F或以下
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
6%
78-79华氏度
41%
80-81°F
48%
82-83华氏度
9%
84-85华氏度
4%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
2%
90华氏度或更高
<1%
80-81°F 48%
78-79华氏度 41%
82-83华氏度 9%
76-77°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
71°F或以下
$252 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$92 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$146 交易量
2%
76-77°F
$252 交易量
6%
78-79华氏度
$407 交易量
41%
80-81°F
$603 交易量
48%
82-83华氏度
$267 交易量
9%
84-85华氏度
$221 交易量
4%
86-87°F
$0 交易量
2%
88-89°F
$0 交易量
2%
90华氏度或更高
$156 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Chicago on September 11 centers on the 78–81°F range due to ensemble model guidance projecting mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow behind a weak frontal passage. Recent runs from the GFS and ECMWF indicate modest daytime heating under high pressure, with surface temperatures supported by dew points in the mid-50s and minimal cloud cover after morning clearing. Differentiation between the leading bins hinges on boundary-layer mixing depth, potential lake-breeze moderation from Lake Michigan, and slight variations in 850-hPa temperatures across model members. Official National Weather Service guidance currently favors a high near 76°F, while private-sector blends trend a few degrees warmer; the next model cycle and afternoon update will likely resolve the narrow spread before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,398结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Chicago on September 11 centers on the 78–81°F range due to ensemble model guidance projecting mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow behind a weak frontal passage. Recent runs from the GFS and ECMWF indicate modest daytime heating under high pressure, with surface temperatures supported by dew points in the mid-50s and minimal cloud cover after morning clearing. Differentiation between the leading bins hinges on boundary-layer mixing depth, potential lake-breeze moderation from Lake Michigan, and slight variations in 850-hPa temperatures across model members. Official National Weather Service guidance currently favors a high near 76°F, while private-sector blends trend a few degrees warmer; the next model cycle and afternoon update will likely resolve the narrow spread before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,398结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 AM ETTrader consensus on the highest temperature in Chicago on September 11 centers on the 78–81°F range due to ensemble model guidance projecting mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow behind a weak frontal passage. Recent runs from the GFS and ECMWF indicate modest daytime heating under high pressure, with surface temperatures supported by dew points in the mid-50s and minimal cloud cover after morning clearing. Differentiation between the leading bins hinges on boundary-layer mixing depth, potential lake-breeze moderation from Lake Michigan, and slight variations in 850-hPa temperatures across model members. Official National Weather Service guidance currently favors a high near 76°F, while private-sector blends trend a few degrees warmer; the next model cycle and afternoon update will likely resolve the narrow spread before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题