Official National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance project a Thursday high near 74°F under mostly sunny skies after morning clearing, with light northeast winds limiting afternoon mixing and heating. This consensus underpins the market's tight clustering between the 76-77°F (42%) and 78-79°F (37.5%) bins, as traders weigh potential for slightly stronger insolation or delayed cloud dissipation against the cooling maritime influence. Recent model runs show minimal spread in maximum temperatures, with historical September climatology (average high 78°F) providing limited upward bias given the current synoptic pattern. Updated NHC and local office briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalyst that could shift implied probabilities if observed trends deviate.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月10日芝加哥气温最高？
9月10日芝加哥气温最高？
76-77°F 42%
78-79°F 38%
74-75°F 13%
80-81°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
69华氏度或以下
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73华氏度
3%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
42%
78-79°F
38%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88华氏度或更高
<1%
76-77°F 42%
78-79°F 38%
74-75°F 13%
80-81°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
69华氏度或以下
$88 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$121 交易量
<1%
72-73华氏度
$7 交易量
3%
74-75°F
$211 交易量
13%
76-77°F
$681 交易量
42%
78-79°F
$425 交易量
38%
80-81°F
$612 交易量
6%
82-83°F
$138 交易量
3%
84-85°F
$26 交易量
1%
86-87°F
$217 交易量
<1%
88华氏度或更高
$121 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance project a Thursday high near 74°F under mostly sunny skies after morning clearing, with light northeast winds limiting afternoon mixing and heating. This consensus underpins the market's tight clustering between the 76-77°F (42%) and 78-79°F (37.5%) bins, as traders weigh potential for slightly stronger insolation or delayed cloud dissipation against the cooling maritime influence. Recent model runs show minimal spread in maximum temperatures, with historical September climatology (average high 78°F) providing limited upward bias given the current synoptic pattern. Updated NHC and local office briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalyst that could shift implied probabilities if observed trends deviate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,446结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance project a Thursday high near 74°F under mostly sunny skies after morning clearing, with light northeast winds limiting afternoon mixing and heating. This consensus underpins the market's tight clustering between the 76-77°F (42%) and 78-79°F (37.5%) bins, as traders weigh potential for slightly stronger insolation or delayed cloud dissipation against the cooling maritime influence. Recent model runs show minimal spread in maximum temperatures, with historical September climatology (average high 78°F) providing limited upward bias given the current synoptic pattern. Updated NHC and local office briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalyst that could shift implied probabilities if observed trends deviate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,446结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ETOfficial National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance project a Thursday high near 74°F under mostly sunny skies after morning clearing, with light northeast winds limiting afternoon mixing and heating. This consensus underpins the market's tight clustering between the 76-77°F (42%) and 78-79°F (37.5%) bins, as traders weigh potential for slightly stronger insolation or delayed cloud dissipation against the cooling maritime influence. Recent model runs show minimal spread in maximum temperatures, with historical September climatology (average high 78°F) providing limited upward bias given the current synoptic pattern. Updated NHC and local office briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalyst that could shift implied probabilities if observed trends deviate.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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